Fluminense at Vitória

Updated

Fluminense

42.3%28.6%29.1%
Fluminense WinDrawVitória Win
1.25Projected Goals 0.98
1Final Score 2

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Fluminense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 2-0 at Flamengo
W 0-1 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-1 at Atletico Goianiense
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
Vitoria
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Bragantino
T 2-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-3 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Juventude
W 2-0 at Atletico Goianiense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense+200-+210+227+231+227+231+243.0
Vitória+145-+160+155+143+155+155+167.5
Draw+225-+195+185+193+185+195+198.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense-----+243.0
Vitória-----+167.5
Draw-----+198.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fluminense: 30.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fluminense: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML
No Steam Moves On Vitória ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2+102o1¾-125o2+101o1¾-125o1¾-125o1¾-114
Underu2¼-115-u2-122u1¾+105u2-123u1¾+105u2-122u1¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-114
Under-----u1¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.74%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 411.09%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.96%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 54.95%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 028.70%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 037.40%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.59%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 41.69%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.54%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 056.11%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.37%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 063.42%
Exactly 128.88%
Exactly 26.57%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals18.80%
Wins by 3+ goals6.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals10.56%
Wins by 3+ goals2.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Fluminense
Vitoria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals12.35%
Wins by 3 goals4.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal18.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.67%
Wins by 3 goals2.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.26%10.74%
1.565.30%34.70%
2.538.57%61.43%
3.518.69%81.31%
4.57.59%92.41%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.30%28.70%
1.535.47%64.53%
2.513.11%86.89%
3.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.60%37.40%
1.525.81%74.19%
2.57.73%92.27%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.41%35.59%
1.527.65%72.35%
2.58.65%91.35%
3.52.11%97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fluminense
Vitoria
Score01234
0
10.74%
10.56%
5.19%
1.70%
0.42%
1
13.40%
13.18%
6.48%
2.12%
0.52%
2
8.36%
8.22%
4.04%
1.33%
0.33%
3
3.48%
3.42%
1.68%
0.55%
0.14%
4
1.09%
1.07%
0.52%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.27%
0.27%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Fluminense
1-013.40%
2-08.36%
2-18.22%
3-03.48%
3-13.42%
3-21.68%
4-01.09%
4-11.07%
4-20.52%
4-30.17%
5-00.27%
5-10.27%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.74%
1-113.18%
2-24.04%
3-30.55%
Vitoria
0-110.56%
0-25.19%
1-26.48%
0-31.70%
1-32.12%
2-31.33%
0-40.42%
1-40.52%
2-40.33%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fluminense
Vitoria
Score0123
0
35.59%
16.20%
3.69%
0.56%
1
20.56%
9.36%
2.13%
0.32%
2
5.94%
2.71%
0.62%
0.09%
3
1.14%
0.52%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Fluminense
1-020.56%
2-05.94%
2-12.71%
3-01.14%
3-10.52%
3-20.12%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-035.59%
1-19.36%
2-20.62%
Vitoria
0-116.20%
0-23.69%
1-22.13%
0-30.56%
1-30.32%