Athletico Paranaense at Fluminense

Updated 5 days ago

10:30 PM • Oct 22, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

13.6%21.9%64.5%

WinDrawFluminense Win

0.70Projected Goals 1.84

0Final Score 1

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 2-5	10/17 at Corinthians
L 1-0	10/05 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1	9/29 at Flamengo
T 0-0	9/22 at Criciuma
T 1-1	9/14 vs Fortaleza

Fluminense		Money Line
W 2-0	10/17 at Flamengo
W 0-1	10/04 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-1	9/29 at Atletico Goianiense
L 1-0	9/21 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-2	9/15 at Juventude

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+295	-	+400	+445	+425	+445	+445	+472.3
Fluminense	+105	-	-130	-132	-132	-132	-130	-118.3
Draw	+225	-	+255	+236	+242	+236	+255	+252.8

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+472.3
Fluminense	-	-	-	-	-	-118.3
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+252.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fluminense: 60.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fluminense: 40.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fluminense: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-122	-	o2-115	o2-112	o2-115	o2-112	o2-112	o2-102
Under	u2+102	-	u2-105	u2-108	u2-105	u2-108	u2-105	u2+102

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-102
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.5%


No	57.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.87%
Exactly 2	25.43%
Exactly 4	13.70%
Exactly 6	2.95%
Exactly 8	0.34%


Exactly 1	20.00%
Exactly 3	21.55%
Exactly 5	6.97%
Exactly 7	1.07%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	49.48%
Exactly 1	34.81%
Exactly 2	12.25%
Exactly 3	2.87%
Exactly 4	0.51%

Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 0	15.90%
Exactly 1	29.24%
Exactly 2	26.88%
Exactly 3	16.48%
Exactly 4	7.58%
Exactly 5	2.79%
Exactly 6	0.85%
Exactly 7	0.22%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.81%
Exactly 2	21.35%
Exactly 4	2.47%
Exactly 6	0.11%


Exactly 1	36.27%
Exactly 3	8.38%
Exactly 5	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	72.20%
Exactly 1	23.52%
Exactly 2	3.83%
Exactly 3	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 0	42.68%
Exactly 1	36.34%
Exactly 2	15.47%
Exactly 3	4.39%
Exactly 4	0.93%
Exactly 5	0.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	3.61%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.68%

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals	38.35%
Wins by 3+ goals	18.30%
Wins by 4+ goals	7.15%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.32%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.61%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Fluminense

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	9.97%
Wins by 2 goals	2.92%
Wins by 3 goals	0.60%

Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal	26.08%
Wins by 2 goals	20.05%
Wins by 3 goals	11.16%
Wins by 4 goals	4.83%
Wins by 5 goals	1.70%
Wins by 6 goals	0.50%
Wins by 7 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.13%	7.87%
1.5	72.13%	27.87%
2.5	46.70%	53.30%
3.5	25.15%	74.85%
4.5	11.46%	88.54%
5.5	4.49%	95.51%
6.5	1.54%	98.46%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	50.52%	49.48%
1.5	15.70%	84.30%
2.5	3.46%	96.54%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	84.10%	15.90%
1.5	54.87%	45.13%
2.5	27.98%	72.02%
3.5	11.50%	88.50%
4.5	3.93%	96.07%
5.5	1.14%	98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.19%	30.81%
1.5	32.91%	67.09%
2.5	11.56%	88.44%
3.5	3.18%	96.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.87%	14.47%	13.30%	8.15%	3.75%	1.38%
1	5.53%	10.18%	9.36%	5.74%	2.64%	0.97%
2	1.95%	3.58%	3.29%	2.02%	0.93%	0.34%
3	0.46%	0.84%	0.77%	0.47%	0.22%	0.08%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	5.53%
2-0	1.95%
2-1	3.58%
3-0	0.46%
3-1	0.84%
3-2	0.77%

Draw
0-0	7.87%
1-1	10.18%
2-2	3.29%
3-3	0.47%

Fluminense
0-1	14.47%
0-2	13.30%
1-2	9.36%
0-3	8.15%
1-3	5.74%
2-3	2.02%
0-4	3.75%
1-4	2.64%
2-4	0.93%
3-4	0.22%
0-5	1.38%
1-5	0.97%
2-5	0.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	30.81%	26.24%	11.17%	3.17%	0.67%	0.11%
1	10.04%	8.55%	3.64%	1.03%	0.22%	0.04%
2	1.63%	1.39%	0.59%	0.17%	0.04%	0.01%
3	0.18%	0.15%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.04%
2-0	1.63%
2-1	1.39%
3-0	0.18%
3-1	0.15%

Draw
0-0	30.81%
1-1	8.55%
2-2	0.59%

Fluminense
0-1	26.24%
0-2	11.17%
1-2	3.64%
0-3	3.17%
1-3	1.03%
2-3	0.17%
0-4	0.67%
1-4	0.22%
0-5	0.11%

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