Atletico Goianiense at Gremio

Updated

Atletico Goianiense

20.0%25.1%54.9%
WinDrawGremio Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 3

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Atletico Goianiense
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Cuiaba
L 0-2 at Criciuma
W 0-1 vs Fluminense
L 0-3 at Corinthians
L 2-0 vs Vitoria
Gremio
Money Line
L 0-1 at Internacional
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 1-3 vs Fortaleza
T 0-0 at Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Criciuma

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Goianiense+460+481+460+550+493+550+550+582.6
Gremio-147-169-170-195-180-195-169-169.9
Draw+277+318+320+325+311+325+325+346.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Goianiense-----+582.6
Gremio------169.9
Draw-----+346.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Goianiense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Goianiense: 30.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Goianiense: 20.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Goianiense ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+116o2½-113o2½-112o2½-115o2½-111o2½-115o2½-111o2½-104
Underu2½-136u2½-103u2½-108u2½-105u2½-109u2½-105u2½-103u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.73%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.29%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 56.27%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 042.83%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.40%
Exactly 34.35%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 020.39%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 313.66%
Exactly 45.43%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.34%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 067.53%
Exactly 126.51%
Exactly 25.20%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 047.89%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.98%
Exactly 33.18%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 2+ goals6.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals29.26%
Wins by 3+ goals12.34%
Wins by 4+ goals4.23%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Goianiense
Gremio
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 1 goal13.65%
Wins by 2 goals4.81%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal25.60%
Wins by 2 goals16.92%
Wins by 3 goals8.11%
Wins by 4 goals3.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.27%8.73%
1.569.97%30.03%
2.544.02%55.98%
3.522.93%77.07%
4.510.07%89.93%
5.53.80%96.20%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Atletico Goianiense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.17%42.83%
1.520.85%79.15%
2.55.46%94.54%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.61%20.39%
1.547.18%52.82%
2.521.41%78.59%
3.57.74%92.26%
4.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.66%32.34%
1.531.15%68.85%
2.510.54%89.46%
3.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Goianiense
Gremio
Score012345
0
8.73%
13.89%
11.04%
5.85%
2.33%
0.74%
1
7.41%
11.78%
9.36%
4.96%
1.97%
0.63%
2
3.14%
4.99%
3.97%
2.10%
0.84%
0.27%
3
0.89%
1.41%
1.12%
0.59%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.19%
0.30%
0.24%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Atletico Goianiense
1-07.41%
2-03.14%
2-14.99%
3-00.89%
3-11.41%
3-21.12%
4-00.19%
4-10.30%
4-20.24%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-08.73%
1-111.78%
2-23.97%
3-30.59%
Gremio
0-113.89%
0-211.04%
1-29.36%
0-35.85%
1-34.96%
2-32.10%
0-42.33%
1-41.97%
2-40.84%
3-40.24%
0-50.74%
1-50.63%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Goianiense
Gremio
Score01234
0
32.34%
23.81%
8.76%
2.15%
0.40%
1
12.70%
9.35%
3.44%
0.84%
0.16%
2
2.49%
1.84%
0.68%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.33%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Goianiense
1-012.70%
2-02.49%
2-11.84%
3-00.33%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-032.34%
1-19.35%
2-20.68%
Gremio
0-123.81%
0-28.76%
1-23.44%
0-32.15%
1-30.84%
2-30.17%
0-40.40%
1-40.16%