Atletico Mineiro at Fortaleza

Updated 35 days ago

12:45 AM • Oct 17, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

27.7%27.8%44.4%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawFortaleza Win

0.99Projected Goals 1.32

1Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 1-2	10/09 vs Gremio
T 2-2	10/05 vs Vitoria
L 1-2	9/28 at Palmeiras
W 0-3	9/22 vs Bragantino
L 0-3	9/15 at Bahia

Fortaleza		Money Line
L 1-3	10/05 at Gremio
W 0-1	9/29 vs Cuiaba
W 1-4	9/22 vs Bahia
T 1-1	9/14 at Athletico Paranaense
L 1-2	9/11 at Internacional

Money Line Analysis

:3.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+315	+455	+440	+453	+462	+453	+462	+480.6
Fortaleza	-102	-138	-145	-141	-147	-141	-138	-125.8
Draw	+240	+258	+255	+252	+254	+252	+258	+269.6

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+480.6
Fortaleza	-	-	-	-	-	-125.8
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+269.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-134	o2-132	o2-128	o2-130	o2-128	o2-130	o2-128	o2-119
Under	u2+114	u2+112	u2+108	u2+110	u2+106	u2+110	u2+112	u2+119

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-119
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.9%


No	54.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.97%
Exactly 2	26.50%
Exactly 4	11.74%
Exactly 6	2.08%
Exactly 8	0.20%


Exactly 1	22.98%
Exactly 3	20.37%
Exactly 5	5.42%
Exactly 7	0.69%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	37.42%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.08%
Exactly 3	5.92%
Exactly 4	1.46%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	26.63%
Exactly 1	35.23%
Exactly 2	23.31%
Exactly 3	10.28%
Exactly 4	3.40%
Exactly 5	0.90%
Exactly 6	0.20%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	34.38%
Exactly 2	19.60%
Exactly 4	1.86%


Exactly 1	36.71%
Exactly 3	6.97%
Exactly 5	0.40%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	63.44%
Exactly 1	28.87%
Exactly 2	6.57%
Exactly 3	1.00%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	54.19%
Exactly 1	33.20%
Exactly 2	10.17%
Exactly 3	2.08%
Exactly 4	0.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	9.99%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.72%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.56%

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals	20.57%
Wins by 3+ goals	7.40%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.12%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	17.70%
Wins by 2 goals	7.27%
Wins by 3 goals	2.16%
Wins by 4 goals	0.49%

Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal	23.83%
Wins by 2 goals	13.18%
Wins by 3 goals	5.27%
Wins by 4 goals	1.64%
Wins by 5 goals	0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.03%	9.97%
1.5	67.05%	32.95%
2.5	40.56%	59.44%
3.5	20.19%	79.81%
4.5	8.45%	91.55%
5.5	3.03%	96.97%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.58%	37.42%
1.5	25.79%	74.21%
2.5	7.72%	92.28%
3.5	1.80%	98.20%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	73.37%	26.63%
1.5	38.14%	61.86%
2.5	14.82%	85.18%
3.5	4.54%	95.46%
4.5	1.14%	98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.62%	34.38%
1.5	28.91%	71.09%
2.5	9.32%	90.68%
3.5	2.34%	97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.97%	13.19%	8.72%	3.85%	1.27%	0.34%
1	9.80%	12.96%	8.57%	3.78%	1.25%	0.33%
2	4.81%	6.37%	4.21%	1.86%	0.61%	0.16%
3	1.58%	2.09%	1.38%	0.61%	0.20%	0.05%
4	0.39%	0.51%	0.34%	0.15%	0.05%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	9.80%
2-0	4.81%
2-1	6.37%
3-0	1.58%
3-1	2.09%
3-2	1.38%
4-0	0.39%
4-1	0.51%
4-2	0.34%
4-3	0.15%

Draw
0-0	9.97%
1-1	12.96%
2-2	4.21%
3-3	0.61%

Fortaleza
0-1	13.19%
0-2	8.72%
1-2	8.57%
0-3	3.85%
1-3	3.78%
2-3	1.86%
0-4	1.27%
1-4	1.25%
2-4	0.61%
3-4	0.20%
0-5	0.34%
1-5	0.33%
2-5	0.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	34.38%	21.06%	6.45%	1.32%	0.20%
1	15.65%	9.58%	2.94%	0.60%	0.09%
2	3.56%	2.18%	0.67%	0.14%	0.02%
3	0.54%	0.33%	0.10%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	15.65%
2-0	3.56%
2-1	2.18%
3-0	0.54%
3-1	0.33%
3-2	0.10%

Draw
0-0	34.38%
1-1	9.58%
2-2	0.67%

Fortaleza
0-1	21.06%
0-2	6.45%
1-2	2.94%
0-3	1.32%
1-3	0.60%
2-3	0.14%
0-4	0.20%

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