Athletico Paranaense at Sao Paulo

Updated 3 days ago

12:00 AM • Nov 10, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

15.1%23.0%61.9%

WinDrawSao Paulo Win

0.74Projected Goals 1.75

1Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 2-1	11/02 vs Vitoria
W 0-3	10/26 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-1	10/22 at Fluminense
L 2-5	10/17 at Corinthians
L 1-0	10/05 vs Botafogo RJ

Sao Paulo		Money Line
W 3-0	11/06 at Bahia
T 1-1	10/27 at Criciuma
W 0-3	10/17 vs Vasco da Gama
L 0-2	10/05 at Cuiaba
W 1-3	9/29 vs Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

:3.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+400	-	+500	+570	+547	+570	+570	+603.4
Sao Paulo	-135	-	-180	-180	-179	-180	-179	-158.0
Draw	+260	-	+300	+288	+291	+288	+300	+307.3

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+603.4
Sao Paulo	-	-	-	-	-	-158.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+307.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-105	-	o2¼-115	o2¼-115	o2¼-113	o2¼-115	o2¼-113	o2¼-104
Under	u2¼-115	-	u2¼-105	u2¼-105	u2¼-107	u2¼-105	u2¼-105	u2¼+104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.9%


No	57.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.33%
Exactly 2	25.73%
Exactly 4	13.24%
Exactly 6	2.73%
Exactly 8	0.30%


Exactly 1	20.70%
Exactly 3	21.31%
Exactly 5	6.58%
Exactly 7	0.97%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	48.16%
Exactly 1	35.19%
Exactly 2	12.86%
Exactly 3	3.13%
Exactly 4	0.57%

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	17.30%
Exactly 1	30.35%
Exactly 2	26.63%
Exactly 3	15.57%
Exactly 4	6.83%
Exactly 5	2.40%
Exactly 6	0.70%
Exactly 7	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	31.64%
Exactly 2	20.95%
Exactly 4	2.31%
Exactly 6	0.10%


Exactly 1	36.41%
Exactly 3	8.03%
Exactly 5	0.53%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	71.30%
Exactly 1	24.12%
Exactly 2	4.08%
Exactly 3	0.46%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	44.38%
Exactly 1	36.05%
Exactly 2	14.64%
Exactly 3	3.96%
Exactly 4	0.81%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	4.14%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.81%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals	35.63%
Wins by 3+ goals	16.37%
Wins by 4+ goals	6.13%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.91%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	10.91%
Wins by 2 goals	3.33%
Wins by 3 goals	0.72%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal	26.22%
Wins by 2 goals	19.26%
Wins by 3 goals	10.23%
Wins by 4 goals	4.23%
Wins by 5 goals	1.42%
Wins by 6 goals	0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.67%	8.33%
1.5	70.96%	29.04%
2.5	45.24%	54.76%
3.5	23.93%	76.07%
4.5	10.69%	89.31%
5.5	4.10%	95.90%
6.5	1.38%	98.62%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	51.84%	48.16%
1.5	16.66%	83.34%
2.5	3.80%	96.20%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	82.70%	17.30%
1.5	52.35%	47.65%
2.5	25.72%	74.28%
3.5	10.15%	89.85%
4.5	3.32%	96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.36%	31.64%
1.5	31.95%	68.05%
2.5	11.00%	89.00%
3.5	2.96%	97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.33%	14.62%	12.82%	7.50%	3.29%	1.15%
1	6.09%	10.68%	9.37%	5.48%	2.40%	0.84%
2	2.22%	3.90%	3.42%	2.00%	0.88%	0.31%
3	0.54%	0.95%	0.83%	0.49%	0.21%	0.08%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	6.09%
2-0	2.22%
2-1	3.90%
3-0	0.54%
3-1	0.95%
3-2	0.83%

Draw
0-0	8.33%
1-1	10.68%
2-2	3.42%
3-3	0.49%

Sao Paulo
0-1	14.62%
0-2	12.82%
1-2	9.37%
0-3	7.50%
1-3	5.48%
2-3	2.00%
0-4	3.29%
1-4	2.40%
2-4	0.88%
3-4	0.21%
0-5	1.15%
1-5	0.84%
2-5	0.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	31.64%	25.70%	10.44%	2.83%	0.57%
1	10.71%	8.70%	3.53%	0.96%	0.19%
2	1.81%	1.47%	0.60%	0.16%	0.03%
3	0.20%	0.17%	0.07%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.71%
2-0	1.81%
2-1	1.47%
3-0	0.20%
3-1	0.17%

Draw
0-0	31.64%
1-1	8.70%
2-2	0.60%

Sao Paulo
0-1	25.70%
0-2	10.44%
1-2	3.53%
0-3	2.83%
1-3	0.96%
2-3	0.16%
0-4	0.57%
1-4	0.19%

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