Sao Paulo at Bahia

Updated

Sao Paulo

26.1%27.4%46.5%
Sao Paulo WinDrawBahia Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.37
3Final Score 0

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 1-1 at Criciuma
W 0-3 vs Vasco da Gama
L 0-2 at Cuiaba
W 1-3 vs Corinthians
L 3-1 vs Internacional
Bahia
Money Line
L 2-3 at Vasco da Gama
T 1-1 at Cruzeiro
L 2-0 vs Flamengo
W 0-1 vs Criciuma
L 1-4 at Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+246+253+240+240+238+240+245+256.8
Bahia+120+126+130+130+127+130+130+141.4
Draw+238+218+215+212+213+212+218+227.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+256.8
Bahia-----+141.4
Draw-----+227.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bahia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-138o2-143o2¼+102o2¼+102o2¼-101o2¼+102o2-143o2¼+111
Underu2+117u2+121u2¼-122u2¼-122u2¼-121u2¼-122u2¼-121u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+111
Under-----u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.72%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 411.96%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.66%
Exactly 320.52%
Exactly 55.57%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.43%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 025.29%
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 223.90%
Exactly 310.95%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.98%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 41.92%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.22%
Exactly 128.44%
Exactly 26.30%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 052.92%
Exactly 133.68%
Exactly 210.72%
Exactly 32.27%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals9.18%
Wins by 3+ goals2.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals22.16%
Wins by 3+ goals8.23%
Wins by 4+ goals2.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Bahia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal16.90%
Wins by 2 goals6.74%
Wins by 3 goals1.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals13.93%
Wins by 3 goals5.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.28%9.72%
1.567.63%32.37%
2.541.22%58.78%
3.520.70%79.30%
4.58.74%91.26%
5.53.17%96.83%
6.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.57%38.43%
1.524.82%75.18%
2.57.25%92.75%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.71%25.29%
1.539.94%60.06%
2.516.04%83.96%
3.55.09%94.91%
4.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.02%33.98%
1.529.34%70.66%
2.59.55%90.45%
3.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Bahia
Score012345
0
9.72%
13.36%
9.18%
4.21%
1.45%
0.40%
1
9.30%
12.78%
8.78%
4.02%
1.38%
0.38%
2
4.45%
6.11%
4.20%
1.92%
0.66%
0.18%
3
1.42%
1.95%
1.34%
0.61%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.34%
0.47%
0.32%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-09.30%
2-04.45%
2-16.11%
3-01.42%
3-11.95%
3-21.34%
4-00.34%
4-10.47%
4-20.32%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.72%
1-112.78%
2-24.20%
3-30.61%
Bahia
0-113.36%
0-29.18%
1-28.78%
0-34.21%
1-34.02%
2-31.92%
0-41.45%
1-41.38%
2-40.66%
3-40.21%
0-50.40%
1-50.38%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Bahia
Score01234
0
33.98%
21.63%
6.88%
1.46%
0.23%
1
15.05%
9.58%
3.05%
0.65%
0.10%
2
3.33%
2.12%
0.67%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-015.05%
2-03.33%
2-12.12%
3-00.49%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-033.98%
1-19.58%
2-20.67%
Bahia
0-121.63%
0-26.88%
1-23.05%
0-31.46%
1-30.65%
2-30.14%
0-40.23%
1-40.10%