Bahia at Vasco da Gama

Updated

Bahia

26.7%28.2%45.1%
Bahia WinDrawVasco da Gama Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.30
2Final Score 3

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cruzeiro
L 2-0 vs Flamengo
W 0-1 vs Criciuma
L 1-4 at Fortaleza
W 0-3 vs Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da Gama
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba
L 0-3 at Sao Paulo
T 1-1 vs Juventude
T 1-1 at Cruzeiro
L 1-0 vs Palmeiras

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+205+155+155+160+152+160+160+172.9
Vasco da Gama+130+185+175+180+179+180+185+193.8
Draw+245+236+240+225+234+225+240+241.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+172.9
Vasco da Gama-----+193.8
Draw-----+241.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½-101o2½+102o2½+102o2½+100o2½+102o2½+102o2½+111
Underu2¼-105u2½-116u2½-122u2½-122u2½-122u2½-122u2½-116u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+111
Under-----u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.68%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 411.14%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.88%
Exactly 319.92%
Exactly 54.99%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 039.31%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.14%
Exactly 35.33%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 027.16%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 310.02%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.49%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 41.70%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 064.90%
Exactly 128.06%
Exactly 26.06%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 054.69%
Exactly 133.00%
Exactly 29.96%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals9.28%
Wins by 3+ goals2.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals20.75%
Wins by 3+ goals7.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Vasco da Gama
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal17.40%
Wins by 2 goals6.85%
Wins by 3 goals1.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals13.35%
Wins by 3 goals5.29%
Wins by 4 goals1.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.32%10.68%
1.565.44%34.56%
2.538.72%61.28%
3.518.80%81.20%
4.57.66%92.34%
5.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.69%39.31%
1.523.99%76.01%
2.56.85%93.15%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.84%27.16%
1.537.44%62.56%
2.514.37%85.63%
3.54.34%95.66%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.51%35.49%
1.527.74%72.26%
2.58.70%91.30%
3.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Vasco da Gama
Score012345
0
10.68%
13.92%
9.07%
3.94%
1.28%
0.33%
1
9.97%
12.99%
8.47%
3.68%
1.20%
0.31%
2
4.65%
6.07%
3.95%
1.72%
0.56%
0.15%
3
1.45%
1.89%
1.23%
0.53%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.34%
0.44%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Bahia
1-09.97%
2-04.65%
2-16.07%
3-01.45%
3-11.89%
3-21.23%
4-00.34%
4-10.44%
4-20.29%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.68%
1-112.99%
2-23.95%
3-30.53%
Vasco da Gama
0-113.92%
0-29.07%
1-28.47%
0-33.94%
1-33.68%
2-31.72%
0-41.28%
1-41.20%
2-40.56%
3-40.17%
0-50.33%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Vasco da Gama
Score01234
0
35.49%
21.42%
6.46%
1.30%
0.20%
1
15.35%
9.26%
2.79%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.32%
2.00%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Bahia
1-015.35%
2-03.32%
2-12.00%
3-00.48%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-035.49%
1-19.26%
2-20.60%
Vasco da Gama
0-121.42%
0-26.46%
1-22.79%
0-31.30%
1-30.56%
2-30.12%
0-40.20%