Flamengo at Bahia

Updated

Flamengo

43.1%26.9%30.0%
Flamengo WinDrawBahia Win
1.37Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 0

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 2-3 at Gremio
T 1-1 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-2 at Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Bragantino
Bahia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Criciuma
L 1-4 at Fortaleza
W 0-3 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 1-2 at Bragantino
T 0-0 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+184+172+165+168+161+168+172+181.3
Bahia+160+170+170+174+172+174+174+187.6
Draw+230+232+235+221+227+221+235+236.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+181.3
Bahia-----+187.6
Draw-----+236.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+104o2½+108o2¼-115o2¼-117o2¼-117o2¼-117o2¼-115o2¼-106
Underu2½-122u2½-127u2¼-105u2¼-103u2¼-103u2¼-103u2½-127u2¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-106
Under-----u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.46%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.12%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.89%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 56.48%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 025.34%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 310.93%
Exactly 43.75%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.86%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 052.96%
Exactly 133.66%
Exactly 210.70%
Exactly 32.27%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 060.17%
Exactly 130.57%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals20.24%
Wins by 3+ goals7.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.51%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals11.62%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal22.85%
Wins by 2 goals12.81%
Wins by 3 goals5.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.43%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal18.26%
Wins by 2 goals8.18%
Wins by 3 goals2.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.54%8.46%
1.570.65%29.35%
2.544.85%55.15%
3.523.61%76.39%
4.510.49%89.51%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.66%25.34%
1.539.88%60.12%
2.516.00%84.00%
3.55.07%94.93%
4.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.14%31.86%
1.531.69%68.31%
2.510.85%89.15%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Bahia
Score012345
0
8.46%
9.28%
5.09%
1.86%
0.51%
0.11%
1
11.61%
12.74%
6.99%
2.56%
0.70%
0.15%
2
7.97%
8.75%
4.80%
1.75%
0.48%
0.11%
3
3.65%
4.00%
2.20%
0.80%
0.22%
0.05%
4
1.25%
1.37%
0.75%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.34%
0.38%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-011.61%
2-07.97%
2-18.75%
3-03.65%
3-14.00%
3-22.20%
4-01.25%
4-11.37%
4-20.75%
4-30.28%
5-00.34%
5-10.38%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.46%
1-112.74%
2-24.80%
3-30.80%
Bahia
0-19.28%
0-25.09%
1-26.99%
0-31.86%
1-32.56%
2-31.75%
0-40.51%
1-40.70%
2-40.48%
3-40.22%
0-50.11%
1-50.15%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Bahia
Score0123
0
31.86%
16.19%
4.11%
0.70%
1
20.26%
10.29%
2.61%
0.44%
2
6.44%
3.27%
0.83%
0.14%
3
1.36%
0.69%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.22%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-020.26%
2-06.44%
2-13.27%
3-01.36%
3-10.69%
3-20.18%
4-00.22%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-031.86%
1-110.29%
2-20.83%
Bahia
0-116.19%
0-24.11%
1-22.61%
0-30.70%
1-30.44%
2-30.14%