Atletico Mineiro at Sao Paulo

Updated 1 min ago

12:30 AM • Nov 24, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

25.6%27.3%47.0%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawSao Paulo Win

0.95Projected Goals 1.38

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
T 0-0	11/21 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1	11/16 at Athletico Paranaense
T 0-0	11/13 at Flamengo
L 0-1	11/07 at Atletico Goianiense
L 3-1	10/26 vs Internacional

Sao Paulo		Money Line
T 1-1	11/20 at Bragantino
W 1-2	11/10 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 3-0	11/06 at Bahia
T 1-1	10/27 at Criciuma
W 0-3	10/17 vs Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

:2.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+400	+382	+370	+400	-	+400	+400	+424.8
Sao Paulo	-145	-123	-130	-125	-	-125	-123	-112.4
Draw	+285	+257	+270	+240	-	+240	+270	+256.9

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+424.8
Sao Paulo	-	-	-	-	-	-112.4
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+256.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	o2-131	o2-125	o2-125	-	o2-125	o2-125	o2-114
Under	u2¼-120	u2+111	u2+105	u2+105	-	u2+105	u2+111	u2+114

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-114
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.8%


No	54.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.76%
Exactly 2	26.42%
Exactly 4	11.92%
Exactly 6	2.15%
Exactly 8	0.21%


Exactly 1	22.71%
Exactly 3	20.49%
Exactly 5	5.55%
Exactly 7	0.72%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	38.92%
Exactly 1	36.73%
Exactly 2	17.33%
Exactly 3	5.45%
Exactly 4	1.29%
Exactly 5	0.24%

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	25.07%
Exactly 1	34.69%
Exactly 2	23.99%
Exactly 3	11.06%
Exactly 4	3.83%
Exactly 5	1.06%
Exactly 6	0.24%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	34.05%
Exactly 2	19.76%
Exactly 4	1.91%


Exactly 1	36.68%
Exactly 3	7.10%
Exactly 5	0.41%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	64.61%
Exactly 1	28.22%
Exactly 2	6.17%
Exactly 3	0.90%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	52.70%
Exactly 1	33.76%
Exactly 2	10.81%
Exactly 3	2.31%
Exactly 4	0.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	8.91%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.47%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals	22.55%
Wins by 3+ goals	8.42%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.52%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	16.68%
Wins by 2 goals	6.57%
Wins by 3 goals	1.87%
Wins by 4 goals	0.41%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal	24.45%
Wins by 2 goals	14.13%
Wins by 3 goals	5.91%
Wins by 4 goals	1.92%
Wins by 5 goals	0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.24%	9.76%
1.5	67.53%	32.47%
2.5	41.11%	58.89%
3.5	20.61%	79.39%
4.5	8.69%	91.31%
5.5	3.14%	96.86%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.08%	38.92%
1.5	24.35%	75.65%
2.5	7.02%	92.98%
3.5	1.57%	98.43%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	74.93%	25.07%
1.5	40.24%	59.76%
2.5	16.25%	83.75%
3.5	5.19%	94.81%
4.5	1.36%	98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.95%	34.05%
1.5	29.27%	70.73%
2.5	9.51%	90.49%
3.5	2.41%	97.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.76%	13.50%	9.34%	4.31%	1.49%	0.41%
1	9.21%	12.74%	8.81%	4.06%	1.41%	0.39%
2	4.34%	6.01%	4.16%	1.92%	0.66%	0.18%
3	1.37%	1.89%	1.31%	0.60%	0.21%	0.06%
4	0.32%	0.45%	0.31%	0.14%	0.05%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	9.21%
2-0	4.34%
2-1	6.01%
3-0	1.37%
3-1	1.89%
3-2	1.31%
4-0	0.32%
4-1	0.45%
4-2	0.31%
4-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	9.76%
1-1	12.74%
2-2	4.16%
3-3	0.60%

Sao Paulo
0-1	13.50%
0-2	9.34%
1-2	8.81%
0-3	4.31%
1-3	4.06%
2-3	1.92%
0-4	1.49%
1-4	1.41%
2-4	0.66%
3-4	0.21%
0-5	0.41%
1-5	0.39%
2-5	0.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	34.05%	21.81%	6.98%	1.49%	0.24%
1	14.87%	9.53%	3.05%	0.65%	0.10%
2	3.25%	2.08%	0.67%	0.14%	0.02%
3	0.47%	0.30%	0.10%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	14.87%
2-0	3.25%
2-1	2.08%
3-0	0.47%
3-1	0.30%

Draw
0-0	34.05%
1-1	9.53%
2-2	0.67%

Sao Paulo
0-1	21.81%
0-2	6.98%
1-2	3.05%
0-3	1.49%
1-3	0.65%
2-3	0.14%
0-4	0.24%
1-4	0.10%

Vitória at Botafogo RJ

Vasco da Gama at Corinthians

Atletico Mineiro at Sao Paulo