Sao Paulo at Botafogo RJ

Updated

Sao Paulo

19.5%25.6%54.9%
WinDrawBotafogo RJ Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.54
1Final Score 2

Botafogo RJ

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Juventude
L 1-2 at Gremio
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 1-1 at Bragantino
W 1-2 vs Athletico Paranaense
Botafogo RJ
Money Line
W 1-0 at Internacional
W 3-1 at Palmeiras
T 1-1 vs Vitoria
T 0-0 at Atletico Mineiro
T 0-0 vs Cuiaba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+750+1231+1100+1400+1347+1400+1400+1489.1
Botafogo RJ-265-351-360-415-404-415-351-317.8
Draw+380+436+440+435+402+435+440+466.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+1489.1
Botafogo RJ------317.8
Draw-----+466.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Botafogo RJ: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 50.0%
Botafogo RJ: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Botafogo RJ: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Botafogo RJ ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-112o2½-108o2½-106o2½-110o2½-106o2½-106o2½+104
Underu2½-120u2½-105u2½-112u2½-114u2½-110u2½-114u2½-105u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.55%
Exactly 226.34%
Exactly 412.11%
Exactly 62.23%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.43%
Exactly 320.62%
Exactly 55.69%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 044.75%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.47%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Botafogo RJ
Exactly 021.34%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 313.10%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.71%
Exactly 219.93%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 068.91%
Exactly 125.66%
Exactly 24.78%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Botafogo RJ
Exactly 048.92%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals5.93%
Wins by 3+ goals1.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Botafogo RJ
Wins by 2+ goals28.73%
Wins by 3+ goals11.83%
Wins by 4+ goals3.91%
Wins by 5+ goals1.02%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Botafogo RJ
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal13.55%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Botafogo RJ
Wins by 1 goal26.01%
Wins by 2 goals16.90%
Wins by 3 goals7.93%
Wins by 4 goals2.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.45%9.55%
1.568.02%31.98%
2.541.68%58.32%
3.521.06%78.94%
4.58.95%91.05%
5.53.27%96.73%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.25%44.75%
1.519.27%80.73%
2.54.80%95.20%

Total Goals Botafogo RJ Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.66%21.34%
1.545.69%54.31%
2.520.24%79.76%
3.57.13%92.87%
4.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.29%33.71%
1.529.63%70.37%
2.59.71%90.29%
3.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Botafogo RJ
Score012345
0
9.55%
14.75%
11.39%
5.86%
2.26%
0.70%
1
7.68%
11.86%
9.16%
4.72%
1.82%
0.56%
2
3.09%
4.77%
3.68%
1.90%
0.73%
0.23%
3
0.83%
1.28%
0.99%
0.51%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.17%
0.26%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-07.68%
2-03.09%
2-14.77%
3-00.83%
3-11.28%
3-20.99%
4-00.17%
4-10.26%
4-20.20%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-09.55%
1-111.86%
2-23.68%
3-30.51%
Botafogo RJ
0-114.75%
0-211.39%
1-29.16%
0-35.86%
1-34.72%
2-31.90%
0-42.26%
1-41.82%
2-40.73%
3-40.20%
0-50.70%
1-50.56%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Botafogo RJ
Score01234
0
33.71%
24.10%
8.62%
2.05%
0.37%
1
12.55%
8.97%
3.21%
0.76%
0.14%
2
2.34%
1.67%
0.60%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.29%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-012.55%
2-02.34%
2-11.67%
3-00.29%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-033.71%
1-18.97%
2-20.60%
Botafogo RJ
0-124.10%
0-28.62%
1-23.21%
0-32.05%
1-30.76%
2-30.14%
0-40.37%
1-40.14%