Flamengo at Sao Paulo

Updated

Flamengo

37.3%28.5%34.2%
Flamengo WinDrawSao Paulo Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.11
0Final Score 1

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-1 at Vitoria
W 1-2 vs Criciuma
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza
T 1-1 vs Cuiaba
Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Botafogo RJ
T 0-0 at Juventude
W 0-1 vs Gremio
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-2 vs Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+180+266+255+275+270+275+275+293.4
Sao Paulo+170+127+130+120+120+120+130+130.8
Draw+210+207+200+205+203+205+207+220.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+293.4
Sao Paulo-----+130.8
Draw-----+220.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 30.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2+101o2+105o2+102o2+103o2+102o2+105o2+111
Underu2¼-112u2-119u2-125u2-122u2-125u2-122u2-119u2-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+111
Under-----u2-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.28%
Exactly 226.60%
Exactly 411.47%
Exactly 61.98%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.39%
Exactly 320.17%
Exactly 55.22%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 031.09%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 033.08%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.88%
Exactly 219.35%
Exactly 41.79%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 058.22%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 28.52%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 059.91%
Exactly 130.69%
Exactly 27.86%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals15.60%
Wins by 3+ goals5.03%
Wins by 4+ goals1.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.60%
Wins by 3+ goals4.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Sao Paulo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal21.64%
Wins by 2 goals10.58%
Wins by 3 goals3.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.49%
Wins by 2 goals9.48%
Wins by 3 goals3.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.72%10.28%
1.566.33%33.67%
2.539.73%60.27%
3.519.55%80.45%
4.58.08%91.92%
5.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.91%31.09%
1.532.59%67.41%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.92%33.08%
1.530.33%69.67%
2.510.09%89.91%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.12%34.88%
1.528.38%71.62%
2.59.03%90.97%
3.52.24%97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
10.28%
11.38%
6.29%
2.32%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.01%
13.29%
7.35%
2.71%
0.75%
0.17%
2
7.02%
7.76%
4.30%
1.58%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.73%
3.02%
1.67%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.80%
0.88%
0.49%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-012.01%
2-07.02%
2-17.76%
3-02.73%
3-13.02%
3-21.67%
4-00.80%
4-10.88%
4-20.49%
4-30.18%
5-00.19%
5-10.21%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.28%
1-113.29%
2-24.30%
3-30.62%
Sao Paulo
0-111.38%
0-26.29%
1-27.35%
0-32.32%
1-32.71%
2-31.58%
0-40.64%
1-40.75%
2-40.44%
3-40.17%
0-50.14%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
34.88%
17.87%
4.58%
0.78%
0.10%
1
18.87%
9.67%
2.48%
0.42%
0.05%
2
5.10%
2.61%
0.67%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.92%
0.47%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-018.87%
2-05.10%
2-12.61%
3-00.92%
3-10.47%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-034.88%
1-19.67%
2-20.67%
Sao Paulo
0-117.87%
0-24.58%
1-22.48%
0-30.78%
1-30.42%
2-30.11%
0-40.10%