Real Madrid at Chelsea

Updated

Real Madrid

36.3%28.4%35.3%
Real Madrid WinDrawChelsea Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.14
2Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-150
W 0-1 vs Liverpool+133
W 5-2 at Liverpool+213
W 1-5 vs Celtic-440
L 2-3 at RB Leipzig+200
Chelsea
Money Line
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+475
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-140
L 0-1 at Dortmund+220
W 1-2 vs Dinamo Zagreb-485
W 2-1 at RB Salzburg-136

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-24.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+160+157+155+165+176+165+176+174.4
Chelsea+170+172+165+165+168+165+172+174.4
Draw+240+253+230+256+251+256+256+268.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+155-+146-1100+115+145+146+174.4
Chelsea+165-+177+700+185+175+700+174.4
Draw+255-+258+0+265+260+265+268.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 40.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +158 to +145
Chelsea ML moved from +180 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Chelsea: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Chelsea: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +146 to +140
Chelsea ML moved from +800 to +700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-120o2½-115o2½-113o2½-117o2½-113o2½-113o2½-103
Underu2½-118u2½+102u2½-105u2½-107u2½+102u2½-107u2½+102u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-125o2½-116-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-116o2½-103
Underu2½-105u2½+105u2½-104-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+105u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.12%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 411.61%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.19%
Exactly 320.27%
Exactly 55.32%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 031.50%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 032.13%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.63%
Exactly 219.47%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 058.58%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 059.12%
Exactly 131.07%
Exactly 28.17%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals15.02%
Wins by 3+ goals4.79%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals14.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.43%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal21.23%
Wins by 2 goals10.23%
Wins by 3 goals3.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal20.87%
Wins by 2 goals9.88%
Wins by 3 goals3.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.88%10.12%
1.566.69%33.31%
2.540.14%59.86%
3.519.87%80.13%
4.58.26%91.74%
5.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.50%31.50%
1.532.11%67.89%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.87%32.13%
1.531.39%68.61%
2.510.68%89.32%
3.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.37%34.63%
1.528.65%71.35%
2.59.17%90.83%
3.52.29%97.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Chelsea
Score012345
0
10.12%
11.49%
6.52%
2.47%
0.70%
0.16%
1
11.69%
13.27%
7.54%
2.85%
0.81%
0.18%
2
6.75%
7.67%
4.35%
1.65%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.60%
2.95%
1.68%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.75%
0.85%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-011.69%
2-06.75%
2-17.67%
3-02.60%
3-12.95%
3-21.68%
4-00.75%
4-10.85%
4-20.48%
4-30.18%
5-00.17%
5-10.20%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.12%
1-113.27%
2-24.35%
3-30.63%
Chelsea
0-111.49%
0-26.52%
1-27.54%
0-32.47%
1-32.85%
2-31.65%
0-40.70%
1-40.81%
2-40.47%
3-40.18%
0-50.16%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Chelsea
Score01234
0
34.63%
18.20%
4.78%
0.84%
0.11%
1
18.52%
9.73%
2.56%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.95%
2.60%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.88%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-018.52%
2-04.95%
2-12.60%
3-00.88%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-034.63%
1-19.73%
2-20.68%
Chelsea
0-118.20%
0-24.78%
1-22.56%
0-30.84%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%