Juventus at Aston Villa

Updated

Juventus

23.3%25.1%51.6%
Juventus WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.59
0Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last Games

Juventus
Money Line
T 1-1 at Lille+155
L 1-0 vs VfB Stuttgart+100
W 3-2 at RB Leipzig+214
W 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven-130
L 2-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+450
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-1 at Club Brugge+115
W 0-2 vs Bologna-155
W 0-1 vs Bayern Munich+350
W 3-0 at Young Boys-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Juventus+206+254+260+258+258+258+264+270.7
Aston Villa+141+124+115+124+117+124+124+131.9
Draw+236+220+225+223+217+223+225+234.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Juventus+200-+250+225+200+260+260+270.7
Aston Villa+125-+120+120+125+120+125+131.9
Draw+225-+220+210+225+215+225+234.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Juventus: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Juventus: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Juventus: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Juventus ML moved from +231 to +222
Aston Villa ML moved from +130 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Juventus: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Juventus: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Juventus: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Juventus ML moved from +227 to +218
Aston Villa ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2-140o2¼+102o2¼+103o2¼+102o2¼+103o2-140o2¼+112
Underu2½-117u2+119u2¼-122u2¼-123u2¼-124u2¼-123u2+123u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+125o2½+135o2-135o2½+110o2-135o2-135o2¼+112
Underu2½-130u2½-145u2½-155u2+115u2½-140u2+115u2½-140u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.63%
Exactly 225.26%
Exactly 413.93%
Exactly 63.07%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.64%
Exactly 321.66%
Exactly 57.17%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Juventus
Exactly 037.47%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.05%
Exactly 35.91%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 020.37%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 313.67%
Exactly 45.44%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.39%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Juventus
Exactly 063.48%
Exactly 128.85%
Exactly 26.55%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 047.87%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.99%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Juventus
Wins by 2+ goals8.20%
Wins by 3+ goals2.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals27.10%
Wins by 3+ goals11.31%
Wins by 4+ goals3.85%
Wins by 5+ goals1.09%
Wins by 6+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Juventus
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Juventus
Wins by 1 goal15.08%
Wins by 2 goals6.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.45%
Wins by 2 goals15.78%
Wins by 3 goals7.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.37%7.63%
1.572.73%27.27%
2.547.46%52.54%
3.525.80%74.20%
4.511.87%88.13%
5.54.70%95.30%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Juventus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.53%37.47%
1.525.74%74.26%
2.57.69%92.31%
3.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.63%20.37%
1.547.21%52.79%
2.521.43%78.57%
3.57.76%92.24%
4.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.61%30.39%
1.533.41%66.59%
2.511.86%88.14%
3.53.30%96.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Juventus
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.63%
12.15%
9.66%
5.12%
2.04%
0.65%
1
7.49%
11.92%
9.48%
5.03%
2.00%
0.64%
2
3.68%
5.85%
4.65%
2.47%
0.98%
0.31%
3
1.20%
1.91%
1.52%
0.81%
0.32%
0.10%
4
0.30%
0.47%
0.37%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
Juventus
1-07.49%
2-03.68%
2-15.85%
3-01.20%
3-11.91%
3-21.52%
4-00.30%
4-10.47%
4-20.37%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.63%
1-111.92%
2-24.65%
3-30.81%
Aston Villa
0-112.15%
0-29.66%
1-29.48%
0-35.12%
1-35.03%
2-32.47%
0-42.04%
1-42.00%
2-40.98%
3-40.32%
0-50.65%
1-50.64%
2-50.31%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Juventus
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
30.39%
22.39%
8.24%
2.02%
0.37%
1
13.81%
10.17%
3.75%
0.92%
0.17%
2
3.14%
2.31%
0.85%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.48%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Juventus
1-013.81%
2-03.14%
2-12.31%
3-00.48%
3-10.35%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-030.39%
1-110.17%
2-20.85%
Aston Villa
0-122.39%
0-28.24%
1-23.75%
0-32.02%
1-30.92%
2-30.21%
0-40.37%
1-40.17%