Milan at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Milan

24.8%24.1%51.1%
Milan WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.68
1Final Score 0

Atletico Madrid

Last Games

Milan
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Porto-103
L 0-1 at Porto+235
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+170
L 2-3 at Liverpool+575
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 0-2 at Liverpool+440
L 3-2 vs Liverpool+225
W 2-1 at Milan+190
T 0-0 vs Porto-155
L 0-2 at Chelsea+241

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+320+390+400+439+453+400+453+422.7
Atletico Madrid-141-145-140-145-173-140-140-135.1
Draw+290+300+295+306+307+295+307+327.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+460-+467-+400+425+467+422.7
Atletico Madrid-170--167--190-150-150-135.1
Draw+310-+308-+270+285+308+327.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +485 to +400
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -173 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +460 to +425
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -160 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-113o2½-120o2½-115o2½-117-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-112
Underu2½-107u2½+100u2½-105u2½+102-u2½-105u2½+102u2½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-115o2½-119-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-112
Underu2½+100u2½-105u2½-101-u2½-115u2½-105u2½-101u2½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.25%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 413.32%
Exactly 62.76%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.59%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 56.64%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 044.21%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.72%
Exactly 34.01%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 018.67%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 314.71%
Exactly 46.17%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.51%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 068.53%
Exactly 125.90%
Exactly 24.89%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 045.97%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 213.88%
Exactly 33.60%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals5.50%
Wins by 3+ goals1.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals32.07%
Wins by 3+ goals14.14%
Wins by 4+ goals5.08%
Wins by 5+ goals1.51%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal12.53%
Wins by 2 goals4.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.77%
Wins by 2 goals17.93%
Wins by 3 goals9.06%
Wins by 4 goals3.57%
Wins by 5 goals1.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.75%8.25%
1.571.16%28.84%
2.545.48%54.52%
3.524.12%75.88%
4.510.81%89.19%
5.54.17%95.83%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.79%44.21%
1.519.70%80.30%
2.54.98%95.02%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.33%18.67%
1.550.00%50.00%
2.523.71%76.29%
3.59.00%91.00%
4.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.49%31.51%
1.532.10%67.90%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
8.25%
13.85%
11.63%
6.50%
2.73%
0.92%
1
6.74%
11.31%
9.49%
5.31%
2.23%
0.75%
2
2.75%
4.61%
3.87%
2.17%
0.91%
0.31%
3
0.75%
1.26%
1.05%
0.59%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.15%
0.26%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Milan
1-06.74%
2-02.75%
2-14.61%
3-00.75%
3-11.26%
3-21.05%
4-00.15%
4-10.26%
4-20.21%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.25%
1-111.31%
2-23.87%
3-30.59%
Atletico Madrid
0-113.85%
0-211.63%
1-29.49%
0-36.50%
1-35.31%
2-32.17%
0-42.73%
1-42.23%
2-40.91%
3-40.25%
0-50.92%
1-50.75%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
31.51%
24.48%
9.51%
2.46%
0.48%
1
11.91%
9.25%
3.59%
0.93%
0.18%
2
2.25%
1.75%
0.68%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.28%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-011.91%
2-02.25%
2-11.75%
3-00.28%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-031.51%
1-19.25%
2-20.68%
Atletico Madrid
0-124.48%
0-29.51%
1-23.59%
0-32.46%
1-30.93%
2-30.18%
0-40.48%
1-40.18%