Midtjylland at Benfica

Updated

Midtjylland

11.5%17.7%70.8%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.27
1Final Score 4

Benfica

Last Games

Midtjylland
Money Line
L 1-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+300
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+900
W 1-2 vs Celtic
T 1-1 at Celtic
Benfica
Money Line
T 3-3 at Liverpool+675
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+730
W 1-0 at Ajax+800
T 2-2 vs Ajax+390
W 0-2 vs Dynamo Kyiv-290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+900-+825+975+939+975+975+875.2
Benfica-375--360-355-389-355-355-272.5
Draw+460-+460+515+494+515+515+502.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+1150----+950+950+875.2
Benfica-425-----350-350-272.5
Draw+525----+460+460+502.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Midtjylland ML moved from +1050 to +975
Benfica ML moved from -345 to -360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 30.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Midtjylland ML moved from +1025 to +950
Benfica ML moved from -325 to -350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-130-o3-125o3-120-o3-120o3-120o3-102
Underu2¾+100-u3-105u3+100-u3+100u3+100u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115---o3-135o3-120o3-120o3-102
Underu3-135---u3+105u3+100u3+105u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+110 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.70%
Exactly 221.97%
Exactly 417.12%
Exactly 65.34%
Exactly 80.89%
 
Exactly 114.37%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.47%
Exactly 72.33%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 045.37%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.17%
Exactly 33.73%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 010.35%
Exactly 123.48%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 320.13%
Exactly 411.41%
Exactly 55.18%
Exactly 61.96%
Exactly 70.63%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.27%
Exactly 224.33%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 311.48%
Exactly 51.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 069.35%
Exactly 125.38%
Exactly 24.64%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 034.99%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals3.27%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals47.21%
Wins by 3+ goals26.09%
Wins by 4+ goals12.05%
Wins by 5+ goals4.72%
Wins by 6+ goals1.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Midtjylland
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal8.20%
Wins by 2 goals2.56%
Wins by 3 goals0.59%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.52%
Wins by 2 goals21.12%
Wins by 3 goals14.03%
Wins by 4 goals7.33%
Wins by 5 goals3.15%
Wins by 6 goals1.14%
Wins by 7 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.30%4.70%
1.580.94%19.06%
2.558.97%41.03%
3.536.58%63.42%
4.519.46%80.54%
5.58.99%91.01%
6.53.65%96.35%
7.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.63%45.37%
1.518.78%81.22%
2.54.60%95.40%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.65%10.35%
1.566.16%33.84%
2.539.54%60.46%
3.519.41%80.59%
4.58.00%92.00%
5.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.73%24.27%
1.541.37%58.63%
2.517.04%82.96%
3.55.55%94.45%
4.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Midtjylland
Benfica
Score012345
0
4.70%
10.65%
12.08%
9.13%
5.18%
2.35%
1
3.71%
8.42%
9.55%
7.22%
4.09%
1.86%
2
1.47%
3.33%
3.77%
2.85%
1.62%
0.73%
3
0.39%
0.88%
0.99%
0.75%
0.43%
0.19%
Midtjylland
1-03.71%
2-01.47%
2-13.33%
3-00.39%
3-10.88%
3-20.99%
Draw
0-04.70%
1-18.42%
2-23.77%
3-30.75%
Benfica
0-110.65%
0-212.08%
1-29.55%
0-39.13%
1-37.22%
2-32.85%
0-45.18%
1-44.09%
2-41.62%
3-40.43%
0-52.35%
1-51.86%
2-50.73%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Midtjylland
Benfica
Score012345
0
24.27%
25.48%
13.38%
4.68%
1.23%
0.26%
1
8.88%
9.33%
4.90%
1.71%
0.45%
0.09%
2
1.63%
1.71%
0.90%
0.31%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.20%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Midtjylland
1-08.88%
2-01.63%
2-11.71%
3-00.20%
3-10.21%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-024.27%
1-19.33%
2-20.90%
Benfica
0-125.48%
0-213.38%
1-24.90%
0-34.68%
1-31.71%
2-30.31%
0-41.23%
1-40.45%
0-50.26%