Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+277
+100
+255
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-140
u2¾-109
o2½-135
u2½+120
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+124
+224
+120
+225
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-122
u2¾-121
o2½-125
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+860
-345
+875
-390
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½-102
u3½-110
o3½-115
u3½+110
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+485
-176
+470
-180
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3-101
o3-110
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-397
+1050
-450
+1075
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-106
u3½-101
o3½+100
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+186
+173
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2½+102
u2½-117
o2½+120
u2½-125
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+213
+140
+205
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-122
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+545
-179
+525
-170
0.96
1.61		2.57
o3-102
u3-108
o2½-150
u3-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+177
+139
+175
+138
1.08
2.14		3.22
o2¾-119
u2¾-101
o3-105
u3½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Union Berlin
Napoli		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+740
-235
+735
-240
1
1		-1.57185-1.57678-1.57113
Benfica
Real Sociedad		30.8%
41.8%		27.4%
+372
-118
+370
-120
1
3		-0.64057-0.64527-0.87168
Celtic
Atletico Madrid		7.2%
78.7%		14.1%
+780
-262
+675
-275
0
6		-0.34905-0.35662-0.23968
Paris Saint-Germain
Milan		37.8%
34.4%		27.8%
+115
+215
+135
+205
1
2		-1.20384-1.14961-1.06775
Young Boys
Manchester City		2.3%
91.6%		6.0%
+3500
-1399
+3200
-1750
0
3		-0.09048-0.09759-0.08727
Antwerp
Porto		8.8%
75.8%		15.5%
+1000
-325
+950
-315
0
2		-0.30188-0.31441-0.27759
Feyenoord
Lazio		19.2%
59.2%		21.6%
+167
+174
+170
+170
0
1		-1.03691-1.01545-0.52477
RB Leipzig
Red Star		57.9%
19.6%		22.4%
-147
+383
-152
+415
2
1		-0.54799-0.53397-0.54593
Barcelona
Shakhtar		71.6%
10.9%		17.5%
-410
+1100
-390
+1000
0
1		-2.51975-2.43657-2.21430
Newcastle United
Dortmund		24.1%
52.7%		23.2%
+172
+169
+164
+170
0
2		-1.01675-1.02753-0.64069
Atletico Madrid
Celtic		60.5%
17.2%		22.3%
-118
+335
-125
+340
2
2		-1.39776-1.40907-1.49928
Dortmund
Newcastle United		29.2%
46.1%		24.7%
+471
-174
+475
-180
1
0		-1.76943-1.78749-1.23237
Porto
Antwerp		55.4%
20.8%		23.8%
+105
+292
+100
+290
4
1		-0.75254-0.73208-0.59046
Manchester City
Young Boys		85.7%
4.6%		9.7%
-458
+1400
-500
+1325
3
1		-0.22072-0.22459-0.15435
Milan
Paris Saint-Germain		16.7%
62.0%		21.2%
+430
-150
+390
-140
0
3		-0.54580-0.57574-0.47733
Red Star
RB Leipzig		8.1%
77.5%		14.3%
+1200
-450
+997
-435
1
3		-0.22057-0.25008-0.25448
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.