Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+263
+106
+255
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-140
u2¾-109
o2½-130
u2½+120
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+120
+235
+115
+225
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-122
u2½+109
o2½-125
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+870
-342
+875
-400
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½-135
u3¾-110
o3½-125
u3½+110
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+485
-172
+450
-175
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3-101
o3-108
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-548
+1400
-625
+1400
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-112
u3½-101
o3½-115
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+186
+170
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-115
u2½-131
o2½+120
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+213
+140
+210
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2½-106
u2½-112
o2½-110
u2½-110
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+424
-140
+390
-140
0.96
1.61		2.57
o2½-123
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+110
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+175
+136
+175
+138
1.08
2.14		3.22
o3-119
u3-101
o3-120
u3½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Dortmund		41.1%
33.4%		25.5%
+131
+202
+130
+192
0
1		-1.13140-1.11801-1.09736
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich		25.8%
49.9%		24.3%
+220
+127
+215
+125
2
2		-1.33135-1.31983-1.41543
Arsenal
Bayern Munich		19.0%
59.8%		21.2%
+173
+163
+180
+164
0
1		-0.99872-0.99217-0.51480
Real Madrid
Manchester City		14.6%
65.3%		20.1%
+430
-163
+410
-160
4
3		-1.69461-1.65407-1.92237
Atletico Madrid
Dortmund		26.3%
48.8%		24.9%
+217
+123
+210
+125
2
4		-0.83418-0.84756-0.71758
Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona		26.3%
48.1%		25.6%
+209
+117
+210
+115
4
1		-1.15849-1.16661-1.33522
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain		26.3%
48.1%		25.6%
+250
+109
+260
+110
3
2		-1.28248-1.29997-1.33701
Dortmund
Atletico Madrid		26.5%
48.6%		24.9%
+370
-119
+355
-125
1
2		-0.63181-0.62556-0.72216
Bayern Munich
Arsenal		35.0%
38.6%		26.3%
+422
-140
+430
-150
2
2		-1.44621-1.44677-1.33382
Manchester City
Real Madrid		41.5%
31.3%		27.2%
+184
+159
+178
+175
3
3		-1.26606-1.25148-1.30372
Inter
Atletico Madrid		30.2%
41.5%		28.3%
+145
+200
+139
+200
2
3		-1.12868-1.13937-0.87880
PSV Eindhoven
Dortmund		14.6%
68.0%		17.4%
+231
+112
+220
+115
0
2		-0.77679-0.79893-0.38516
Porto
Arsenal		9.9%
73.7%		16.5%
+1050
-343
+1050
-370
2
4		-0.27316-0.27286-0.30566
Napoli
Barcelona		13.7%
67.1%		19.2%
+320
-124
+335
-120
1
3		-0.62405-0.63117-0.39857
RB Leipzig
Real Madrid		14.6%
66.1%		19.3%
+455
-171
+450
-175
1
1		-1.57123-1.62745-1.64512
FC Copenhagen
Manchester City		2.6%
90.6%		6.8%
+1807
-675
+1850
-715
1
3		-0.17208-0.16983-0.09843
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.