Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+263
+106
+255
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-140
u2¾-109
o2½-130
u2½+120
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+120
+231
+115
+225
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-122
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+830
-345
+875
-400
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½-135
u3¾-110
o3½-125
u3½+110
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+485
-172
+450
-175
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3-101
o3-108
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-548
+1500
-625
+1400
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-112
u3½-101
o3½-115
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+190
+170
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-115
u2½-131
o2½+120
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+213
+140
+210
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2½-106
u2½-112
o2½-110
u2½-110
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+424
-140
+390
-140
0.96
1.61		2.57
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+110
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+175
+136
+175
+138
1.08
2.14		3.22
o3-119
u3-101
o3-120
u3½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Real Sociedad		45.4%
28.0%		26.6%
+237
+122
+237
+135
2
1		-1.24414-1.22044-0.79063
Lazio
Bayern Munich		4.8%
85.7%		9.5%
+886
-353
+950
-373
0
3		-0.28110-0.27565-0.15421
Arsenal
Porto		52.3%
23.0%		24.7%
-153
+484
-157
+450
0
1		-1.78153-1.74360-1.46911
Barcelona
Napoli		41.1%
31.8%		27.1%
+153
+189
+150
+180
1
1		-1.27737-1.29474-1.30656
Dortmund
PSV Eindhoven		43.0%
32.7%		24.3%
+255
+105
+254
+110
1
1		-1.39614-1.36633-1.41519
Atletico Madrid
Inter		22.1%
52.6%		25.3%
+505
-152
+500
-165
0
1		-0.52081-0.51234-0.64156
Real Sociedad
Paris Saint-Germain		12.7%
68.3%		19.0%
+436
-128
+435
-130
0
2		-0.59829-0.58573-0.38094
Bayern Munich
Lazio		71.9%
11.7%		16.4%
-139
+432
-142
+410
0
1		-1.69331-1.66776-2.14618
Manchester City
FC Copenhagen		83.6%
5.2%		11.1%
-404
+1250
-445
+1200
3
1		-0.24686-0.24346-0.17900
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig		42.0%
31.6%		26.3%
+133
+207
+130
+200
1
0		-0.86379-0.87058-0.86669
Feyenoord
Celtic		34.6%
38.6%		26.8%
+109
+250
+115
+245
1
2		-1.27250-1.25099-0.95249
Milan
Newcastle United		23.0%
52.4%		24.6%
+298
-113
+285
-115
2
1		-1.40548-1.38585-1.47155
Paris Saint-Germain
Dortmund		32.0%
42.7%		25.2%
-124
+295
-125
+280
1
1		-1.51326-1.52657-1.37757
Shakhtar
Porto		10.7%
71.7%		17.7%
+500
-164
+500
-172
3
5		-0.50063-0.49205-0.33332
Lazio
Atletico Madrid		10.7%
71.7%		17.6%
+468
-153
+460
-160
0
2		-0.52736-0.53156-0.33236
Barcelona
Antwerp		75.6%
9.0%		15.4%
-153
+428
-148
+425
2
3		-1.68978-1.68325-2.40895
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.