Palmeiras at Cerro Porteno

Updated

Palmeiras

41.3%28.2%30.5%
Palmeiras WinDrawCerro Porteno Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.04
3Final Score 0

Cerro Porteno

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 2-0 at Barcelona SC-110
W 1-2 vs Cerro Porteno-290
L 1-3 at Bolivar+260
T 2-2 vs Athletico Paranaense-275
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense+130
Cerro Porteno
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Bolivar-315
L 1-2 at Palmeiras+850
W 1-2 vs Barcelona SC-140
W 1-2 vs Fortaleza+160
W 1-0 at Fortaleza+515

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-128-136-145-145-137-145-136-129.1
Cerro Porteno+364+382+370+395+395+395+395+419.9
Draw+280+291+285+290+294+290+294+309.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-120----180-145-145-129.1
Cerro Porteno+335---+375+410+410+419.9
Draw+265---+265+280+280+309.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-125o2¾-105o2½-118o2½-115o2½-118o2½-115o2½-107
Underu2½-106u2½+105u2¾-125u2½-102u2½-105u2½-102u2¾-125u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.04%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 411.68%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.07%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 55.37%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 028.39%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 035.35%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.49%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 055.82%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 061.79%
Exactly 129.75%
Exactly 27.16%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals18.37%
Wins by 3+ goals6.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals11.51%
Wins by 3+ goals3.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals12.05%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal18.93%
Wins by 2 goals8.21%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.96%10.04%
1.566.89%33.11%
2.540.37%59.63%
3.520.05%79.95%
4.58.36%91.64%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.61%28.39%
1.535.87%64.13%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.65%35.35%
1.527.89%72.11%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.51%34.49%
1.528.79%71.21%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Score012345
0
10.04%
10.44%
5.43%
1.88%
0.49%
0.10%
1
12.64%
13.14%
6.83%
2.37%
0.62%
0.13%
2
7.96%
8.27%
4.30%
1.49%
0.39%
0.08%
3
3.34%
3.47%
1.81%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
4
1.05%
1.09%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.28%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-012.64%
2-07.96%
2-18.27%
3-03.34%
3-13.47%
3-21.81%
4-01.05%
4-11.09%
4-20.57%
4-30.20%
5-00.26%
5-10.28%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.04%
1-113.14%
2-24.30%
3-30.63%
Cerro Porteno
0-110.44%
0-25.43%
1-26.83%
0-31.88%
1-32.37%
2-31.49%
0-40.49%
1-40.62%
2-40.39%
3-40.16%
0-50.10%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Score0123
0
34.49%
16.61%
4.00%
0.64%
1
20.11%
9.68%
2.33%
0.37%
2
5.86%
2.82%
0.68%
0.11%
3
1.14%
0.55%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-020.11%
2-05.86%
2-12.82%
3-01.14%
3-10.55%
3-20.13%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-034.49%
1-19.68%
2-20.68%
Cerro Porteno
0-116.61%
0-24.00%
1-22.33%
0-30.64%
1-30.37%
2-30.11%
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