Olimpia at Nacional

Updated

Olimpia

32.6%26.8%40.6%
Olimpia WinDrawNacional Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.34
2Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Olimpia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Patronato-140
T 1-1 at Melgar+195
W 1-0 at Cerro Porteno
L 1-2 at Colon
W 0-1 vs Penarol
Nacional
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Melgar-140
T 1-1 vs Olimpia-185
L 1-3 at Olimpia+205
L 0-2 at Univ Catolica+185
L 0-1 at Argentinos Jun+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia+370-+330+330-+330+330+351.7
Nacional-125--110-120--120-110-108.0
Draw+235-+230+267-+267+267+285.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia+300---+325+400+400+351.7
Nacional-145----145-140-140-108.0
Draw+250---+235+275+275+285.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Olimpia: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Olimpia: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Olimpia: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Olimpia: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Olimpia ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Olimpia: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Olimpia: 50.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Olimpia: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Olimpia: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Olimpia ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120-o2¼-120o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2¼-110-u2¼-110u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.06%
Exactly 225.56%
Exactly 413.50%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.30%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 56.80%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Olimpia
Exactly 030.87%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 026.11%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 223.54%
Exactly 310.54%
Exactly 43.54%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.16%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Olimpia
Exactly 058.03%
Exactly 131.58%
Exactly 28.59%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 053.70%
Exactly 133.39%
Exactly 210.38%
Exactly 32.15%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Olimpia
Wins by 2+ goals13.42%
Wins by 3+ goals4.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals18.60%
Wins by 3+ goals6.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Olimpia
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Olimpia
Wins by 1 goal19.20%
Wins by 2 goals9.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal21.93%
Wins by 2 goals11.93%
Wins by 3 goals4.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.48%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.94%8.06%
1.571.64%28.36%
2.546.08%53.92%
3.524.63%75.37%
4.511.13%88.87%
5.54.32%95.68%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Olimpia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.13%30.87%
1.532.85%67.15%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.89%26.11%
1.538.82%61.18%
2.515.28%84.72%
3.54.75%95.25%
4.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.84%31.16%
1.532.50%67.50%
2.511.32%88.68%
3.53.09%96.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Olimpia
Nacional
Score012345
0
8.06%
10.82%
7.27%
3.25%
1.09%
0.29%
1
9.48%
12.72%
8.54%
3.82%
1.28%
0.34%
2
5.57%
7.48%
5.02%
2.25%
0.75%
0.20%
3
2.18%
2.93%
1.97%
0.88%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.64%
0.86%
0.58%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.20%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Olimpia
1-09.48%
2-05.57%
2-17.48%
3-02.18%
3-12.93%
3-21.97%
4-00.64%
4-10.86%
4-20.58%
4-30.26%
5-00.15%
5-10.20%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-08.06%
1-112.72%
2-25.02%
3-30.88%
Nacional
0-110.82%
0-27.27%
1-28.54%
0-33.25%
1-33.82%
2-32.25%
0-41.09%
1-41.28%
2-40.75%
3-40.30%
0-50.29%
1-50.34%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Olimpia
Nacional
Score01234
0
31.16%
19.37%
6.02%
1.25%
0.19%
1
16.96%
10.54%
3.28%
0.68%
0.11%
2
4.62%
2.87%
0.89%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.84%
0.52%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Olimpia
1-016.96%
2-04.62%
2-12.87%
3-00.84%
3-10.52%
3-20.16%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-031.16%
1-110.54%
2-20.89%
Nacional
0-119.37%
0-26.02%
1-23.28%
0-31.25%
1-30.68%
2-30.18%
0-40.19%
1-40.11%
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