Patronato at Melgar

Updated

Patronato

24.8%26.3%48.9%
Patronato WinDrawMelgar Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.48
0Final Score 5

Melgar

Last Games

Patronato
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Olimpia+155
W 1-4 vs Melgar+125
L 0-1 at Olimpia+515
Melgar
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Nacional+150
L 1-4 at Patronato+235
L 1-3 at Nacional+410
T 1-1 vs Olimpia+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato+376+545+500-+496-+545-
Melgar-124-175-190--182--175-
Draw+262+302+300-+300-+302-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato+400---+385+510+510-
Melgar-140----170-175-170-
Draw+275---+245+300+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patronato: 40.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Patronato: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patronato: 0.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Patronato ML
No Steam Moves On Melgar ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patronato: 40.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Patronato: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patronato: 0.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Patronato ML
No Steam Moves On Melgar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+113o2¼-125-o2¼-118-o2¼-118-
Underu2½-134u2½-133u2¼-105-u2¼-102-u2½-133-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115---o2½+115-o2½+115-
Underu2½-145---u2½-145-u2½-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.63%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 412.95%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.15%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.35%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 037.83%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.87%
Exactly 35.79%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Melgar
Exactly 022.82%
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 312.27%
Exactly 44.53%
Exactly 51.34%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.17%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 063.76%
Exactly 128.69%
Exactly 26.46%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Melgar
Exactly 050.45%
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 211.81%
Exactly 32.69%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals8.75%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Melgar
Wins by 2+ goals24.42%
Wins by 3+ goals9.59%
Wins by 4+ goals3.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Patronato
Melgar
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal16.04%
Wins by 2 goals6.41%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Melgar
Wins by 1 goal24.39%
Wins by 2 goals14.83%
Wins by 3 goals6.57%
Wins by 4 goals2.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.37%8.63%
1.570.22%29.78%
2.544.32%55.68%
3.523.17%76.83%
4.510.22%89.78%
5.53.87%96.13%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.17%37.83%
1.525.39%74.61%
2.57.52%92.48%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Melgar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.18%22.82%
1.543.47%56.53%
2.518.56%81.44%
3.56.29%93.71%
4.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.83%32.17%
1.531.35%68.65%
2.510.66%89.34%
3.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Patronato
Melgar
Score012345
0
8.63%
12.76%
9.42%
4.64%
1.71%
0.51%
1
8.39%
12.40%
9.16%
4.51%
1.67%
0.49%
2
4.08%
6.03%
4.45%
2.19%
0.81%
0.24%
3
1.32%
1.95%
1.44%
0.71%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.32%
0.47%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Patronato
1-08.39%
2-04.08%
2-16.03%
3-01.32%
3-11.95%
3-21.44%
4-00.32%
4-10.47%
4-20.35%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.63%
1-112.40%
2-24.45%
3-30.71%
Melgar
0-112.76%
0-29.42%
1-29.16%
0-34.64%
1-34.51%
2-32.19%
0-41.71%
1-41.67%
2-40.81%
3-40.26%
0-50.51%
1-50.49%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Patronato
Melgar
Score01234
0
32.17%
22.01%
7.53%
1.72%
0.29%
1
14.48%
9.90%
3.39%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.26%
2.23%
0.76%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Patronato
1-014.48%
2-03.26%
2-12.23%
3-00.49%
3-10.33%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.17%
1-19.90%
2-20.76%
Melgar
0-122.01%
0-27.53%
1-23.39%
0-31.72%
1-30.77%
2-30.17%
0-40.29%
1-40.13%
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