Nacional at Melgar

Updated

Nacional

36.1%28.4%35.5%
Nacional WinDrawMelgar Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 0

Melgar

Last Games

Nacional
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Olimpia-140
W 1-3 vs Melgar-140
T 1-1 vs Olimpia-185
L 1-3 at Olimpia+205
L 0-2 at Univ Catolica+185
Melgar
Money Line
L 1-4 at Patronato+235
L 1-3 at Nacional+410
T 1-1 vs Olimpia+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+175-+220+182-+230+230+246.8
Melgar+155-+145+175-+140+145+152.2
Draw+220-+190+202-+202+202+217.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+205---+160+230+230+246.8
Melgar+150---+150+140+150+152.2
Draw+210---+190+200+200+217.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Melgar ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Melgar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120-o2-125o2-122-o2-122o2-122o2-111
Underu2¼-110-u2-105u2+102-u2+102u2+102u2+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-111
Under-----u2+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.14%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.60%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.20%
Exactly 320.26%
Exactly 55.31%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 031.64%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.95%
Exactly 38.04%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Melgar
Exactly 032.04%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.76%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.65%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 058.70%
Exactly 131.27%
Exactly 28.33%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Melgar
Exactly 059.04%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals14.90%
Wins by 3+ goals4.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Melgar
Wins by 2+ goals14.42%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Melgar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal21.17%
Wins by 2 goals10.17%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Melgar
Wins by 1 goal20.94%
Wins by 2 goals9.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.86%10.14%
1.566.66%33.34%
2.540.11%59.89%
3.519.84%80.16%
4.58.25%91.75%
5.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.36%31.64%
1.531.95%68.05%
2.511.00%89.00%
3.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals Melgar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.96%32.04%
1.531.50%68.50%
2.510.74%89.26%
3.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.35%34.65%
1.528.62%71.38%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Melgar
Score012345
0
10.14%
11.54%
6.57%
2.49%
0.71%
0.16%
1
11.66%
13.28%
7.56%
2.87%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.71%
7.64%
4.35%
1.65%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.57%
2.93%
1.67%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.74%
0.84%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-011.66%
2-06.71%
2-17.64%
3-02.57%
3-12.93%
3-21.67%
4-00.74%
4-10.84%
4-20.48%
4-30.18%
5-00.17%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.14%
1-113.28%
2-24.35%
3-30.63%
Melgar
0-111.54%
0-26.57%
1-27.56%
0-32.49%
1-32.87%
2-31.65%
0-40.71%
1-40.82%
2-40.47%
3-40.18%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Melgar
Score01234
0
34.65%
18.26%
4.81%
0.85%
0.11%
1
18.46%
9.73%
2.56%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.92%
2.59%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.87%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Nacional
1-018.46%
2-04.92%
2-12.59%
3-00.87%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-034.65%
1-19.73%
2-20.68%
Melgar
0-118.26%
0-24.81%
1-22.56%
0-30.85%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%
Corinthians at Argentinos Jun
Olimpia at Patronato