Flamengo at Penarol

Updated

Flamengo

53.5%24.8%21.7%
Flamengo WinDrawPenarol Win
1.62Projected Goals 0.93
0Final Score 0

Penarol

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Penarol-240
L 0-1 at Bolivar+280
W 0-2 vs Bolivar
W 0-3 vs Millonarios
W 0-4 vs Bolivar
Penarol
Money Line
W 1-0 at Flamengo+600
L 0-1 at The Strongest+560
W 0-4 vs The Strongest
W 1-2 vs Rosario Cent-115
W 0-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+145-+110+110+115+115+115+126.1
Penarol+190-+270+290+290+290+290+310.1
Draw+225-+200+214+203+203+203+218.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+110---+110-+110+126.1
Penarol+215---+215-+215+310.1
Draw+200---+200-+200+218.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 20.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 30.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+104-o2+105o1¾-125o1¾-125o1¾-125o1¾-125o1¾-114
Underu2¼-124-u2-135u1¾+105u1¾+105u1¾+105u1¾+105u1¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145---o2-110-o2-110o1¾-114
Underu2+115---u2-120-u2-120u1¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.81%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 413.76%
Exactly 62.98%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.91%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 57.02%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 019.83%
Exactly 132.08%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 314.00%
Exactly 45.66%
Exactly 51.83%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 039.37%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.11%
Exactly 35.31%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.70%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 047.27%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 213.27%
Exactly 33.31%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 064.95%
Exactly 128.03%
Exactly 26.05%
Exactly 30.87%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals28.56%
Wins by 3+ goals12.13%
Wins by 4+ goals4.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals7.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Penarol
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.88%
Wins by 2 goals16.43%
Wins by 3 goals7.93%
Wins by 4 goals2.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal14.33%
Wins by 2 goals5.45%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.19%7.81%
1.572.29%27.71%
2.546.90%53.10%
3.525.32%74.68%
4.511.56%88.44%
5.54.55%95.45%
6.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.17%19.83%
1.548.09%51.91%
2.522.13%77.87%
3.58.13%91.87%
4.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.63%39.37%
1.523.93%76.07%
2.56.83%93.17%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.30%30.70%
1.533.04%66.96%
2.511.64%88.36%
3.53.21%96.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Penarol
Score01234
0
7.81%
7.28%
3.39%
1.05%
0.25%
1
12.63%
11.77%
5.49%
1.71%
0.40%
2
10.22%
9.53%
4.44%
1.38%
0.32%
3
5.51%
5.14%
2.39%
0.74%
0.17%
4
2.23%
2.08%
0.97%
0.30%
0.07%
5
0.72%
0.67%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
Flamengo
1-012.63%
2-010.22%
2-19.53%
3-05.51%
3-15.14%
3-22.39%
4-02.23%
4-12.08%
4-20.97%
4-30.30%
5-00.72%
5-10.67%
5-20.31%
Draw
0-07.81%
1-111.77%
2-24.44%
3-30.74%
Penarol
0-17.28%
0-23.39%
1-25.49%
0-31.05%
1-31.71%
2-31.38%
0-40.25%
1-40.40%
2-40.32%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Penarol
Score0123
0
30.70%
13.25%
2.86%
0.41%
1
23.00%
9.93%
2.14%
0.31%
2
8.62%
3.72%
0.80%
0.12%
3
2.15%
0.93%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Flamengo
1-023.00%
2-08.62%
2-13.72%
3-02.15%
3-10.93%
3-20.20%
4-00.40%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-030.70%
1-19.93%
2-20.80%
Penarol
0-113.25%
0-22.86%
1-22.14%
0-30.41%
1-30.31%
2-30.12%