The Strongest at Penarol

Updated

The Strongest

25.5%30.9%43.7%
The Strongest WinDrawPenarol Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 4

Penarol

Last 5 Games

The Strongest
Money Line
L 0-4 at Gremio
W 0-4 vs Huachipato
W 0-1 vs Estudiantes-190
L 1-2 at Estudiantes
W 0-2 vs Gremio-260
Penarol
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Rosario Cent-115
W 0-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+190
W 1-0 at Caracas-185
L 2-3 at Atletico Mineiro+675
W 0-5 vs Caracas-380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
The Strongest+875+740+775+775+775+775+775+819.3
Penarol-325-247-305-285-285-285-247-238.5
Draw+400+379+420+410+410+410+420+435.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
The Strongest-----+819.3
Penarol------238.5
Draw-----+435.8

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
The Strongest: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

The Strongest: 60.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

The Strongest: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

The Strongest: 10.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On The Strongest ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-126o2½-128o2½-124o2½-124o2½-124o2½-124o2½-113
Underu2¾-118u2½+107u2½-102u2½+104u2½+104u2½+104u2½+107u2½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140---o2½-125-o2½-125o2½-113
Underu2½+110---u2½-105-u2½-105u2½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.2%
 
No62.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.49%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 48.40%
Exactly 61.05%
 
Exactly 127.99%
Exactly 317.41%
Exactly 53.25%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - The Strongest
Exactly 045.22%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 214.24%
Exactly 33.77%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 032.05%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.89%
Exactly 216.35%
Exactly 41.09%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - The Strongest
Exactly 069.25%
Exactly 125.45%
Exactly 24.68%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 059.05%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

The Strongest
Wins by 2+ goals7.93%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals18.40%
Wins by 3+ goals5.86%
Wins by 4+ goals1.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

The Strongest
Penarol
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
The Strongest
Wins by 1 goal17.54%
Wins by 2 goals6.10%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal25.14%
Wins by 2 goals12.54%
Wins by 3 goals4.43%
Wins by 4 goals1.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.51%14.49%
1.557.51%42.49%
2.530.48%69.52%
3.513.07%86.93%
4.54.67%95.33%
5.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals The Strongest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.78%45.22%
1.518.89%81.11%
2.54.65%95.35%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.95%32.05%
1.531.48%68.52%
2.510.73%89.27%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.11%40.89%
1.522.54%77.46%
2.56.19%93.81%
3.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

The Strongest
Penarol
Score01234
0
14.49%
16.49%
9.38%
3.56%
1.01%
1
11.50%
13.09%
7.45%
2.82%
0.80%
2
4.57%
5.19%
2.95%
1.12%
0.32%
3
1.21%
1.37%
0.78%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.24%
0.27%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
The Strongest
1-011.50%
2-04.57%
2-15.19%
3-01.21%
3-11.37%
3-20.78%
4-00.24%
4-10.27%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-014.49%
1-113.09%
2-22.95%
3-30.30%
Penarol
0-116.49%
0-29.38%
1-27.45%
0-33.56%
1-32.82%
2-31.12%
0-41.01%
1-40.80%
2-40.32%

Correct Score - First Half

The Strongest
Penarol
Score01234
0
40.89%
21.54%
5.67%
1.00%
0.13%
1
15.03%
7.92%
2.08%
0.37%
0.05%
2
2.76%
1.45%
0.38%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.34%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
The Strongest
1-015.03%
2-02.76%
2-11.45%
3-00.34%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-040.89%
1-17.92%
2-20.38%
Penarol
0-121.54%
0-25.67%
1-22.08%
0-31.00%
1-30.37%
0-40.13%
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