Millonarios at Penarol

Updated

Millonarios

27.1%28.3%44.6%
Millonarios WinDrawPenarol Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.29
2Final Score 0

Penarol

Last Games

Millonarios
Money Line
Penarol
Money Line
L 1-4 at America (MG)+355
W 4-0 at River Plate+100
L 0-2 at Athletico Paranaense+265
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+140
W 0-1 vs Sporting Cristal-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millonarios+325-+275+325+322+325+325+346.5
Penarol-110-+110-105-101-105+110+105.1
Draw+222-+210+230+233+230+233+246.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millonarios+340----+315+315+346.5
Penarol-115-----105-105+105.1
Draw+245----+235+235+246.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millonarios: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millonarios: 20.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millonarios: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millonarios: 0.0%
Penarol: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millonarios ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millonarios: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millonarios: 20.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millonarios: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millonarios: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millonarios ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-121-o2¼+108o2¼+107o2-126o2¼+107o2-126o2¼+116
Underu2+101-u2¼-128u2¼-127u2+106u2¼-127u2¼-127u2¼-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+116
Under-----u2¼-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.79%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.05%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.03%
Exactly 319.85%
Exactly 54.92%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Millonarios
Exactly 039.16%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.21%
Exactly 35.38%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 027.56%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.67%
Exactly 218.95%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.51%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millonarios
Exactly 064.79%
Exactly 128.12%
Exactly 26.10%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 055.06%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 29.80%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millonarios
Wins by 2+ goals9.45%
Wins by 3+ goals2.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals20.35%
Wins by 3+ goals7.19%
Wins by 4+ goals2.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Millonarios
Penarol
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millonarios
Wins by 1 goal17.59%
Wins by 2 goals6.96%
Wins by 3 goals1.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal24.19%
Wins by 2 goals13.17%
Wins by 3 goals5.16%
Wins by 4 goals1.57%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.21%10.79%
1.565.18%34.82%
2.538.44%61.56%
3.518.59%81.41%
4.57.54%92.46%
5.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Millonarios Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.84%39.16%
1.524.13%75.87%
2.56.92%93.08%
3.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.44%27.56%
1.536.92%63.08%
2.514.03%85.97%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.33%35.67%
1.527.56%72.44%
2.58.61%91.39%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millonarios
Penarol
Score012345
0
10.79%
13.91%
8.96%
3.85%
1.24%
0.32%
1
10.12%
13.04%
8.40%
3.61%
1.16%
0.30%
2
4.74%
6.11%
3.94%
1.69%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.48%
1.91%
1.23%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.35%
0.45%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Millonarios
1-010.12%
2-04.74%
2-16.11%
3-01.48%
3-11.91%
3-21.23%
4-00.35%
4-10.45%
4-20.29%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.79%
1-113.04%
2-23.94%
3-30.53%
Penarol
0-113.91%
0-28.96%
1-28.40%
0-33.85%
1-33.61%
2-31.69%
0-41.24%
1-41.16%
2-40.55%
3-40.17%
0-50.32%
1-50.30%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Millonarios
Penarol
Score01234
0
35.67%
21.29%
6.35%
1.26%
0.19%
1
15.48%
9.24%
2.76%
0.55%
0.08%
2
3.36%
2.01%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millonarios
1-015.48%
2-03.36%
2-12.01%
3-00.49%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-035.67%
1-19.24%
2-20.60%
Penarol
0-121.29%
0-26.35%
1-22.76%
0-31.26%
1-30.55%
2-30.12%
0-40.19%
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