Palestino at Independiente

Updated

Palestino

15.8%22.4%61.8%
WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.82
0Final Score 4

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Palestino
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Independiente
W 2-1 at Cuiaba
T 1-1 vs Cuiaba
W 5-1 at Estudiantes Merida-120
T 0-0 vs San Lorenzo+240
Independiente
Money Line
T 2-2 at Palestino
W 0-4 vs Always Ready
T 1-1 at Defensa y Just
W 5-1 at U Cesar Vallejo
W 1-2 vs Defensa y Just

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palestino+427+363+360+365+365+365+365+398.3
Independiente-124-109-115-117-117-117-109-101.2
Draw+237+229+225+215+215+215+229+237.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palestino-----+398.3
Independiente------101.2
Draw-----+237.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palestino: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palestino: 0.0%
Independiente: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palestino: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palestino ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-124o2-131o2-128o2-128o2-128o2-128o2-128o2-117
Underu2+106u2+112u2+108u2+108u2+108u2+108u2+112u2+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-117
Under-----u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.34%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 414.24%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.16%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.44%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Palestino
Exactly 045.35%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.18%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 016.18%
Exactly 129.47%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 316.30%
Exactly 47.42%
Exactly 52.70%
Exactly 60.82%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.83%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palestino
Exactly 069.34%
Exactly 125.39%
Exactly 24.65%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 043.03%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.30%
Exactly 34.30%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palestino
Wins by 2+ goals4.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals36.20%
Wins by 3+ goals17.02%
Wins by 4+ goals6.56%
Wins by 5+ goals2.10%
Wins by 6+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Palestino
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Palestino
Wins by 1 goal11.11%
Wins by 2 goals3.61%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal25.60%
Wins by 2 goals19.17%
Wins by 3 goals10.47%
Wins by 4 goals4.46%
Wins by 5 goals1.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.66%7.34%
1.573.50%26.50%
2.548.47%51.53%
3.526.67%73.33%
4.512.43%87.57%
5.54.99%95.01%
6.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Palestino Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.65%45.35%
1.518.79%81.21%
2.54.61%95.39%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.82%16.18%
1.554.35%45.65%
2.527.52%72.48%
3.511.22%88.78%
4.53.80%96.20%
5.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.17%29.83%
1.534.08%65.92%
2.512.26%87.74%
3.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palestino
Independiente
Score012345
0
7.34%
13.36%
12.17%
7.39%
3.37%
1.23%
1
5.80%
10.57%
9.62%
5.84%
2.66%
0.97%
2
2.29%
4.18%
3.81%
2.31%
1.05%
0.38%
3
0.60%
1.10%
1.00%
0.61%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.12%
0.22%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Palestino
1-05.80%
2-02.29%
2-14.18%
3-00.60%
3-11.10%
3-21.00%
4-00.12%
4-10.22%
4-20.20%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-07.34%
1-110.57%
2-23.81%
3-30.61%
Independiente
0-113.36%
0-212.17%
1-29.62%
0-37.39%
1-35.84%
2-32.31%
0-43.37%
1-42.66%
2-41.05%
3-40.28%
0-51.23%
1-50.97%
2-50.38%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Palestino
Independiente
Score012345
0
29.83%
25.16%
10.61%
2.98%
0.63%
0.11%
1
10.92%
9.21%
3.88%
1.09%
0.23%
0.04%
2
2.00%
1.69%
0.71%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.21%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Palestino
1-010.92%
2-02.00%
2-11.69%
3-00.24%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-029.83%
1-19.21%
2-20.71%
Independiente
0-125.16%
0-210.61%
1-23.88%
0-32.98%
1-31.09%
2-30.20%
0-40.63%
1-40.23%
0-50.11%