Newcastle Utd at Arsenal

Updated

Newcastle United

12.9%18.7%68.3%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.19

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Brentford-215
W 0-2 vs Chelsea+130
W 1-0 at AFC Wimbledon-1000
W 4-3 at Nottingham Forest-115
L 2-4 at Chelsea+400
Arsenal
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Crystal Palace-145
W 3-0 at Preston North End-385
W 1-5 vs Bolton Wanderers-1750
L 1-3 at West Ham United+105
W 1-0 at Brentford+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+440-+440+452-+452+452+479.6
Arsenal-180--180-175--175-175-153.8
Draw+320-+320+330-+330+330+351.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-----+479.6
Arsenal------153.8
Draw-----+351.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Arsenal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML
No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102-o2¾-122o3+104-o3+104o2¾-122o3+113
Underu3-122-u2¾+102u3-124-u3-124u3-124u3-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+113
Under-----u3-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.86%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 416.93%
Exactly 65.16%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.71%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.24%
Exactly 72.23%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 043.47%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.09%
Exactly 34.19%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 011.19%
Exactly 124.51%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 319.59%
Exactly 410.73%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.66%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 43.95%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 311.28%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 067.99%
Exactly 126.23%
Exactly 25.06%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 036.28%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.65%
Exactly 36.30%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals3.85%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals44.49%
Wins by 3+ goals23.90%
Wins by 4+ goals10.71%
Wins by 5+ goals4.06%
Wins by 6+ goals1.31%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal9.06%
Wins by 2 goals2.98%
Wins by 3 goals0.72%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals20.59%
Wins by 3 goals13.19%
Wins by 4 goals6.65%
Wins by 5 goals2.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.96%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.14%4.86%
1.580.43%19.57%
2.558.20%41.80%
3.535.80%64.20%
4.518.87%81.13%
5.58.63%91.37%
6.53.47%96.53%
7.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.53%43.47%
1.520.32%79.68%
2.55.23%94.77%
3.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.81%11.19%
1.564.30%35.70%
2.537.46%62.54%
3.517.87%82.13%
4.57.14%92.86%
5.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.34%24.66%
1.540.81%59.19%
2.516.65%83.35%
3.55.37%94.63%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Arsenal
Score012345
0
4.86%
10.65%
11.67%
8.52%
4.66%
2.04%
1
4.05%
8.88%
9.72%
7.10%
3.89%
1.70%
2
1.69%
3.70%
4.05%
2.96%
1.62%
0.71%
3
0.47%
1.03%
1.12%
0.82%
0.45%
0.20%
Newcastle United
1-04.05%
2-01.69%
2-13.70%
3-00.47%
3-11.03%
3-21.12%
Draw
0-04.86%
1-18.88%
2-24.05%
3-30.82%
Arsenal
0-110.65%
0-211.67%
1-29.72%
0-38.52%
1-37.10%
2-32.96%
0-44.66%
1-43.89%
2-41.62%
3-40.45%
0-52.04%
1-51.70%
2-50.71%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Arsenal
Score012345
0
24.66%
25.01%
12.68%
4.29%
1.09%
0.22%
1
9.51%
9.65%
4.89%
1.65%
0.42%
0.09%
2
1.84%
1.86%
0.94%
0.32%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-09.51%
2-01.84%
2-11.86%
3-00.24%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-024.66%
1-19.65%
2-20.94%
Arsenal
0-125.01%
0-212.68%
1-24.89%
0-34.29%
1-31.65%
2-30.32%
0-41.09%
1-40.42%
0-50.22%