Southampton at Cardiff City

Updated

Southampton

47.6%25.2%27.2%
Southampton WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.57Projected Goals 1.11
5Final Score 3

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-3 at Gillingham-220
L 1-2 at Newcastle United+770
L 1-0 vs Newcastle United+475
W 0-2 vs Manchester City+850
W 1-2 vs Lincoln City-375
Cardiff City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bristol Rovers-115
L 2-5 at Blackburn+275
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+240
W 0-3 vs Colchester United-170
L 3-0 vs Portsmouth-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-145-155-170-175-175-175-155-147.4
Cardiff City+370+435+420+450+450+450+450+487.5
Draw+275+308+300+300+300+300+308+327.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-175----160--160-147.4
Cardiff City+365---+300-+300+487.5
Draw+260---+275-+275+327.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from -145 to -160
Cardiff City ML moved from +295 to +270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Cardiff City ML moved from +365 to +300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-132o2¾-108o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾-105o2½-132o2¾+104
Underu2¾-118u2½+112u2¾-112u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-112u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130---o2½-125-o2½-125o2¾+104
Underu2½+100---u2½-105-u2½-105u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.88%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 414.71%
Exactly 63.51%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.42%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 57.87%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 020.99%
Exactly 132.77%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 313.31%
Exactly 45.20%
Exactly 51.62%
Exactly 60.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 032.80%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.38%
Exactly 37.57%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.97%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 048.54%
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 212.68%
Exactly 33.06%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 059.68%
Exactly 130.81%
Exactly 27.95%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals24.28%
Wins by 3+ goals9.84%
Wins by 4+ goals3.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.82%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals10.46%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal23.24%
Wins by 2 goals14.45%
Wins by 3 goals6.63%
Wins by 4 goals2.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal16.60%
Wins by 2 goals7.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.12%6.88%
1.574.70%25.30%
2.550.05%49.95%
3.528.06%71.94%
4.513.35%86.65%
5.55.48%94.52%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.01%20.99%
1.546.24%53.76%
2.520.67%79.33%
3.57.36%92.64%
4.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.20%32.80%
1.530.64%69.36%
2.510.26%89.74%
3.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.03%28.97%
1.535.14%64.86%
2.512.91%87.09%
3.53.73%96.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
6.88%
7.67%
4.28%
1.59%
0.44%
1
10.75%
11.98%
6.68%
2.48%
0.69%
2
8.39%
9.35%
5.21%
1.94%
0.54%
3
4.37%
4.87%
2.71%
1.01%
0.28%
4
1.70%
1.90%
1.06%
0.39%
0.11%
5
0.53%
0.59%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
Southampton
1-010.75%
2-08.39%
2-19.35%
3-04.37%
3-14.87%
3-22.71%
4-01.70%
4-11.90%
4-21.06%
4-30.39%
5-00.53%
5-10.59%
5-20.33%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.88%
1-111.98%
2-25.21%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Cardiff City
0-17.67%
0-24.28%
1-26.68%
0-31.59%
1-32.48%
2-31.94%
0-40.44%
1-40.69%
2-40.54%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Cardiff City
Score0123
0
28.97%
14.95%
3.86%
0.66%
1
20.94%
10.81%
2.79%
0.48%
2
7.57%
3.91%
1.01%
0.17%
3
1.82%
0.94%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.33%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Southampton
1-020.94%
2-07.57%
2-13.91%
3-01.82%
3-10.94%
3-20.24%
4-00.33%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-028.97%
1-110.81%
2-21.01%
Cardiff City
0-114.95%
0-23.86%
1-22.79%
0-30.66%
1-30.48%
2-30.17%