MK Dons at Watford

Updated

Milton Keynes Dons

16.6%22.2%61.2%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.85
0Final Score 5

Watford

Last Games

Milton Keynes Dons
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Wycombe Wanderers+125
L 3-0 vs Leicester City+1000
W 0-2 vs Morecambe-150
W 2-0 at Watford+500
L 0-5 at Bournemouth+375
Watford
Money Line
L 3-4 at Stevenage-145
L 2-0 vs Milton Keynes Dons-220
L 3-1 vs Stoke City-120
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
MK Dons+360+555+550+490+490+490+555+549.8
Watford-189-212-235-256-256-256-212-188.1
Draw+300+382+370+370+370+370+382+417.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
MK Dons+365---+550-+550+549.8
Watford+200----300--300-188.1
Draw+310---+350-+350+417.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
MK Dons: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

MK Dons: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

MK Dons: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

MK Dons ML moved from +572 to +555
Watford ML moved from -229 to -239

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
MK Dons: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

MK Dons: 30.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

MK Dons: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On MK Dons ML
Watford ML moved from -200 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-109o3-121o3-115o3-117o3-117o3-117o3-115o3-106
Underu2¾-111u3+103u3-105u3-103u3-103u3-103u3+103u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100---o3-115-o3-115o3-106
Underu3-130---u3-115-u3-115u3+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.78%
Exactly 224.55%
Exactly 414.82%
Exactly 63.58%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.25%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Milton Keynes Dons
Exactly 043.13%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 215.25%
Exactly 34.27%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 015.72%
Exactly 129.09%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.59%
Exactly 47.67%
Exactly 52.84%
Exactly 60.88%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.77%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milton Keynes Dons
Exactly 067.75%
Exactly 126.38%
Exactly 25.13%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 042.46%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.58%
Exactly 34.45%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milton Keynes Dons
Wins by 2+ goals5.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals35.96%
Wins by 3+ goals17.04%
Wins by 4+ goals6.62%
Wins by 5+ goals2.14%
Wins by 6+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Milton Keynes Dons
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milton Keynes Dons
Wins by 1 goal11.45%
Wins by 2 goals3.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals18.92%
Wins by 3 goals10.41%
Wins by 4 goals4.48%
Wins by 5 goals1.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.22%6.78%
1.574.97%25.03%
2.550.42%49.58%
3.528.39%71.61%
4.513.57%86.43%
5.55.60%94.40%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Milton Keynes Dons Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.87%43.13%
1.520.60%79.40%
2.55.35%94.65%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.28%15.72%
1.555.19%44.81%
2.528.28%71.72%
3.511.69%88.31%
4.54.01%95.99%
5.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.23%28.77%
1.535.39%64.61%
2.513.06%86.94%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

MK Dons
Watford
Score012345
0
6.78%
12.55%
11.61%
7.16%
3.31%
1.22%
1
5.70%
10.55%
9.76%
6.02%
2.78%
1.03%
2
2.40%
4.44%
4.10%
2.53%
1.17%
0.43%
3
0.67%
1.24%
1.15%
0.71%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.14%
0.26%
0.24%
0.15%
0.07%
0.03%
Milton Keynes Dons
1-05.70%
2-02.40%
2-14.44%
3-00.67%
3-11.24%
3-21.15%
4-00.14%
4-10.26%
4-20.24%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-06.78%
1-110.55%
2-24.10%
3-30.71%
Watford
0-112.55%
0-211.61%
1-29.76%
0-37.16%
1-36.02%
2-32.53%
0-43.31%
1-42.78%
2-41.17%
3-40.33%
0-51.22%
1-51.03%
2-50.43%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

MK Dons
Watford
Score012345
0
28.77%
24.64%
10.55%
3.01%
0.65%
0.11%
1
11.20%
9.59%
4.11%
1.17%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.18%
1.87%
0.80%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.28%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Milton Keynes Dons
1-011.20%
2-02.18%
2-11.87%
3-00.28%
3-10.24%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-028.77%
1-19.59%
2-20.80%
Watford
0-124.64%
0-210.55%
1-24.11%
0-33.01%
1-31.17%
2-30.23%
0-40.65%
1-40.25%
0-50.11%