Swansea City at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Swansea City

36.7%27.7%35.6%
Swansea City WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.19
3Final Score 1

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Norwich City+185
W 3-0 at Millwall+250
W 0-3 vs Sheffield Wednesday+100
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+165
L 0-2 at Cardiff City+200
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Millwall+150
T 1-1 at Hull City+290
W 2-6 vs Norwich City+235
L 1-4 at Bristol City+425
L 1-2 at Preston North End+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+188+185+170+146+146+146+185+165.6
Plymouth Argyle+149+145+150+153+153+153+153+173.1
Draw+243+255+240+260+260+260+260+288.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+160---+185+185+185+165.6
Plymouth Argyle+135---+105+140+140+173.1
Draw+215---+245+250+250+288.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 40.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +192 to +185
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +140 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 40.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +200 to +180
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +125 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o3+111o2¾-118o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-118o2¾-113
Underu2½-102u3-131u2¾-102u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-113
Under-----u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.11%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 412.51%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.82%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 55.99%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 029.85%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 030.51%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.98%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 057.14%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 057.71%
Exactly 131.72%
Exactly 28.72%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals15.61%
Wins by 3+ goals5.15%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals14.94%
Wins by 3+ goals4.85%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal21.04%
Wins by 2 goals10.47%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal20.67%
Wins by 2 goals10.10%
Wins by 3 goals3.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.89%9.11%
1.569.07%30.93%
2.542.93%57.07%
3.522.05%77.95%
4.59.54%90.46%
5.53.54%96.46%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.15%29.85%
1.534.06%65.94%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.49%30.51%
1.533.28%66.72%
2.511.78%88.22%
3.53.27%96.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.02%32.98%
1.530.44%69.56%
2.510.15%89.85%
3.52.64%97.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
9.11%
10.81%
6.42%
2.54%
0.75%
0.18%
1
11.01%
13.07%
7.76%
3.07%
0.91%
0.22%
2
6.65%
7.90%
4.69%
1.86%
0.55%
0.13%
3
2.68%
3.18%
1.89%
0.75%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.81%
0.96%
0.57%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.20%
0.23%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-011.01%
2-06.65%
2-17.90%
3-02.68%
3-13.18%
3-21.89%
4-00.81%
4-10.96%
4-20.57%
4-30.23%
5-00.20%
5-10.23%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.11%
1-113.07%
2-24.69%
3-30.75%
Plymouth Argyle
0-110.81%
0-26.42%
1-27.76%
0-32.54%
1-33.07%
2-31.86%
0-40.75%
1-40.91%
2-40.55%
3-40.22%
0-50.18%
1-50.22%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
32.98%
18.13%
4.98%
0.91%
0.13%
1
18.46%
10.15%
2.79%
0.51%
0.07%
2
5.17%
2.84%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.96%
0.53%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-018.46%
2-05.17%
2-12.84%
3-00.96%
3-10.53%
3-20.15%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-032.98%
1-110.15%
2-20.78%
Plymouth Argyle
0-118.13%
0-24.98%
1-22.79%
0-30.91%
1-30.51%
2-30.14%
0-40.13%
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