Portsmouth at Derby County

Updated

Portsmouth

18.9%23.6%57.5%
WinDrawDerby County Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.73
0Final Score 4

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Portsmouth
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Norwich City+220
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+275
T 2-2 at Swansea City+345
W 1-3 vs Preston North End+190
L 0-1 at Plymouth Argyle+190
Derby County
Money Line
T 0-0 at Burnley+450
L 0-2 at Leeds United+785
L 2-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+165
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+170
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portsmouth+320+310+295+260+304+260+310+294.3
Derby County-105+101-105-104-106-104+101+114.8
Draw+246+236+220+225+235+225+236+256.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portsmouth+325---+250+270+270+294.3
Derby County-110----110+110+110+114.8
Draw+245---+215+230+230+256.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portsmouth: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portsmouth: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Portsmouth: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portsmouth: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portsmouth ML moved from +270 to +260
Derby County ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portsmouth: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portsmouth: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Portsmouth: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portsmouth: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portsmouth ML moved from +305 to +250
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2½+122o2¼-108o2¼-105o2¼-108o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼+104
Underu2½-116u2½-144u2¼-112u2¼-115u2¼-112u2¼-115u2½-144u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.32%
Exactly 225.02%
Exactly 414.26%
Exactly 63.25%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.13%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 57.46%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Portsmouth
Exactly 041.42%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.09%
Exactly 34.73%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 017.66%
Exactly 130.62%
Exactly 226.54%
Exactly 315.34%
Exactly 46.65%
Exactly 52.31%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.80%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.81%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portsmouth
Exactly 066.49%
Exactly 127.13%
Exactly 25.54%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 044.81%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 214.44%
Exactly 33.86%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portsmouth
Wins by 2+ goals6.07%
Wins by 3+ goals1.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals32.31%
Wins by 3+ goals14.52%
Wins by 4+ goals5.34%
Wins by 5+ goals1.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Portsmouth
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Portsmouth
Wins by 1 goal12.80%
Wins by 2 goals4.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal25.18%
Wins by 2 goals17.78%
Wins by 3 goals9.19%
Wins by 4 goals3.71%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.68%7.32%
1.573.55%26.45%
2.548.53%51.47%
3.526.73%73.27%
4.512.47%87.53%
5.55.01%94.99%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Portsmouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.58%41.42%
1.522.07%77.93%
2.55.98%94.02%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.34%17.66%
1.551.71%48.29%
2.525.17%74.83%
3.59.83%90.17%
4.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.20%29.80%
1.534.12%65.88%
2.512.28%87.72%
3.53.47%96.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portsmouth
Derby County
Score012345
0
7.32%
12.69%
11.00%
6.35%
2.75%
0.95%
1
6.45%
11.18%
9.69%
5.60%
2.43%
0.84%
2
2.84%
4.93%
4.27%
2.47%
1.07%
0.37%
3
0.83%
1.45%
1.25%
0.72%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.18%
0.32%
0.28%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
Portsmouth
1-06.45%
2-02.84%
2-14.93%
3-00.83%
3-11.45%
3-21.25%
4-00.18%
4-10.32%
4-20.28%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.32%
1-111.18%
2-24.27%
3-30.72%
Derby County
0-112.69%
0-211.00%
1-29.69%
0-36.35%
1-35.60%
2-32.47%
0-42.75%
1-42.43%
2-41.07%
3-40.31%
0-50.95%
1-50.84%
2-50.37%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Portsmouth
Derby County
Score01234
0
29.80%
23.92%
9.60%
2.57%
0.52%
1
12.16%
9.76%
3.92%
1.05%
0.21%
2
2.48%
1.99%
0.80%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.34%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Portsmouth
1-012.16%
2-02.48%
2-11.99%
3-00.34%
3-10.27%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.80%
1-19.76%
2-20.80%
Derby County
0-123.92%
0-29.60%
1-23.92%
0-32.57%
1-31.05%
2-30.21%
0-40.52%
1-40.21%
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