Derby County at Preston

Updated

Derby County

29.9%28.4%41.6%
Derby County WinDrawPreston Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.25

Preston North End

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Plymouth Argyle-140
W 2-1 at Coventry City+460
L 1-2 at Stoke City+240
T 1-1 vs Hull City+125
T 1-1 at Oxford United+170
Preston North End
Money Line
L 1-3 at Portsmouth+155
T 0-0 vs Sunderland+215
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+150
T 3-3 at Plymouth Argyle+150
T 2-2 vs Norwich City+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+238+232+225+210+224+210+232+233.6
Preston+128+132+130+135+129+135+135+152.9
Draw+227+225+200+205+218+205+225+228.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+235---+225+245+245+233.6
Preston+125---+100+120+120+152.9
Draw+225---+215+225+225+228.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +215 to +205
Preston ML moved from +128 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 10.0%
Preston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Preston: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Preston ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-142o2-133o2-122o2¼+120o2¼+106o2¼+120o2-122o2¼+128
Underu2+121u2+113u2+102u2¼-140u2¼-128u2¼-140u2¼-128u2¼-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+128
Under-----u2¼-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.43%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.35%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.57%
Exactly 320.08%
Exactly 55.13%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 036.32%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 028.70%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.11%
Exactly 219.23%
Exactly 41.76%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.71%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 062.57%
Exactly 129.34%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 056.11%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.37%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals11.10%
Wins by 3+ goals3.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals18.45%
Wins by 3+ goals6.31%
Wins by 4+ goals1.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Preston North End
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal18.79%
Wins by 2 goals7.99%
Wins by 3 goals2.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal23.16%
Wins by 2 goals12.13%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.57%10.43%
1.566.00%34.00%
2.539.36%60.64%
3.519.28%80.72%
4.57.92%92.08%
5.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.68%36.32%
1.526.89%73.11%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.30%28.70%
1.535.47%64.53%
2.513.11%86.89%
3.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.89%35.11%
1.528.15%71.85%
2.58.91%91.09%
3.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Preston North End
Score012345
0
10.43%
13.01%
8.12%
3.38%
1.05%
0.26%
1
10.56%
13.18%
8.22%
3.42%
1.07%
0.27%
2
5.35%
6.67%
4.16%
1.73%
0.54%
0.13%
3
1.80%
2.25%
1.41%
0.58%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.46%
0.57%
0.36%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Derby County
1-010.56%
2-05.35%
2-16.67%
3-01.80%
3-12.25%
3-21.41%
4-00.46%
4-10.57%
4-20.36%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.43%
1-113.18%
2-24.16%
3-30.58%
Preston North End
0-113.01%
0-28.12%
1-28.22%
0-33.38%
1-33.42%
2-31.73%
0-41.05%
1-41.07%
2-40.54%
3-40.18%
0-50.26%
1-50.27%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Preston North End
Score01234
0
35.11%
20.29%
5.86%
1.13%
0.16%
1
16.46%
9.51%
2.75%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.86%
2.23%
0.64%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.60%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-016.46%
2-03.86%
2-12.23%
3-00.60%
3-10.35%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-035.11%
1-19.51%
2-20.64%
Preston North End
0-120.29%
0-25.86%
1-22.75%
0-31.13%
1-30.53%
2-30.12%
0-40.16%
Middlesbrough at Oxford United
Stoke City at QPR