Derby County at Oxford United

Updated

Derby County

31.4%27.5%41.1%
Derby County WinDrawOxford United Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.30
1Final Score 1

Oxford United

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 at Millwall+295
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
L 0-2 at Sunderland+425
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+175
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+430
Oxford United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+280
T 1-1 at Portsmouth+190
T 2-2 at Luton Town+400
T 0-0 vs Burnley+255
L 1-2 at Bristol City+345

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+190+175+165+162+170+162+175+183.8
Oxford United+135+165+160+154+157+154+165+175.1
Draw+230+234+215+225+228+225+234+252.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+190---+170+170+170+183.8
Oxford United+140---+120+170+170+175.1
Draw+245---+230+225+230+252.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Oxford United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Oxford United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Oxford United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +166 to +160
Oxford United ML moved from +160 to +152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Oxford United: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Oxford United: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Oxford United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +200 to +165
No Steam Moves On Oxford United ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½+108o2¼-120o2¼-117o2¼-122o2¼-117o2¼-117o2¼-106
Underu2½+102u2½-127u2¼+100u2¼-103u2¼-102u2¼-103u2½-127u2¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-106
Under-----u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.15%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.89%
Exactly 320.85%
Exactly 55.96%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Oxford United
Exactly 027.37%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.05%
Exactly 220.25%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 060.22%
Exactly 130.54%
Exactly 27.74%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Oxford United
Exactly 054.88%
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 29.88%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals12.23%
Wins by 3+ goals3.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Oxford United
Wins by 2+ goals18.53%
Wins by 3+ goals6.50%
Wins by 4+ goals1.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Oxford United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal19.04%
Wins by 2 goals8.59%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Oxford United
Wins by 1 goal22.52%
Wins by 2 goals12.03%
Wins by 3 goals4.68%
Wins by 4 goals1.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.85%9.15%
1.568.96%31.04%
2.542.79%57.21%
3.521.94%78.06%
4.59.47%90.53%
5.53.51%96.49%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.92%70.08%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Oxford United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.63%27.37%
1.537.17%62.83%
2.514.19%85.81%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.95%33.05%
1.530.35%69.65%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Oxford United
Score012345
0
9.15%
11.86%
7.68%
3.32%
1.08%
0.28%
1
10.03%
12.99%
8.42%
3.64%
1.18%
0.31%
2
5.49%
7.11%
4.61%
1.99%
0.64%
0.17%
3
2.00%
2.60%
1.68%
0.73%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.55%
0.71%
0.46%
0.20%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-010.03%
2-05.49%
2-17.11%
3-02.00%
3-12.60%
3-21.68%
4-00.55%
4-10.71%
4-20.46%
4-30.20%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.15%
1-112.99%
2-24.61%
3-30.73%
Oxford United
0-111.86%
0-27.68%
1-28.42%
0-33.32%
1-33.64%
2-31.99%
0-41.08%
1-41.18%
2-40.64%
3-40.24%
0-50.28%
1-50.31%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Oxford United
Score01234
0
33.05%
19.83%
5.95%
1.19%
0.18%
1
16.76%
10.06%
3.02%
0.60%
0.09%
2
4.25%
2.55%
0.76%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.72%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-016.76%
2-04.25%
2-12.55%
3-00.72%
3-10.43%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.05%
1-110.06%
2-20.76%
Oxford United
0-119.83%
0-25.95%
1-23.02%
0-31.19%
1-30.60%
2-30.15%
0-40.18%
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