QPR at Derby County

Updated

Queens Park Rangers

26.4%26.2%47.3%
QPR WinDrawDerby County Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Queens Park Rangers
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Hull City+165
L 0-2 at Blackburn+260
T 1-1 vs Millwall+135
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+215
W 2-1 at Luton Town+280
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sunderland+425
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+175
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+430
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR+202+225+215+205+228+205+228+229.2
Derby County+141+130+120+123+122+123+130+140.7
Draw+240+235+230+230+239+230+239+256.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR+220---+185+225+225+229.2
Derby County+125---+115+125+125+140.7
Draw+240---+220+235+235+256.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

QPR: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

QPR ML moved from +221 to +215
Derby County ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

QPR: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

QPR ML moved from +205 to +185
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+111o2¼-118o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2½-118u2½-131u2¼-102u2¼-105u2¼-103u2¼-105u2½-131u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.23%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 413.33%
Exactly 62.77%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.56%
Exactly 321.36%
Exactly 56.66%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 035.80%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.89%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 023.00%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.47%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.10%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 062.15%
Exactly 129.56%
Exactly 27.03%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 050.64%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.72%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 2+ goals9.69%
Wins by 3+ goals2.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals23.42%
Wins by 3+ goals9.12%
Wins by 4+ goals2.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 1 goal16.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals14.30%
Wins by 3 goals6.27%
Wins by 4 goals2.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.77%8.23%
1.571.20%28.80%
2.545.54%54.46%
3.524.17%75.83%
4.510.84%89.16%
5.54.18%95.82%
6.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Queens Park Rangers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.20%35.80%
1.527.42%72.58%
2.58.54%91.46%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.00%23.00%
1.543.20%56.80%
2.518.36%81.64%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.53%31.47%
1.532.14%67.86%
2.511.11%88.89%
3.53.01%96.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

QPR
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.23%
12.10%
8.89%
4.36%
1.60%
0.47%
1
8.46%
12.43%
9.13%
4.47%
1.64%
0.48%
2
4.34%
6.38%
4.69%
2.30%
0.84%
0.25%
3
1.49%
2.19%
1.61%
0.79%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.38%
0.56%
0.41%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Queens Park Rangers
1-08.46%
2-04.34%
2-16.38%
3-01.49%
3-12.19%
3-21.61%
4-00.38%
4-10.56%
4-20.41%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.23%
1-112.43%
2-24.69%
3-30.79%
Derby County
0-112.10%
0-28.89%
1-29.13%
0-34.36%
1-34.47%
2-32.30%
0-41.60%
1-41.64%
2-40.84%
3-40.29%
0-50.47%
1-50.48%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

QPR
Derby County
Score01234
0
31.47%
21.42%
7.29%
1.65%
0.28%
1
14.97%
10.18%
3.47%
0.79%
0.13%
2
3.56%
2.42%
0.82%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.56%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Queens Park Rangers
1-014.97%
2-03.56%
2-12.42%
3-00.56%
3-10.38%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.47%
1-110.18%
2-20.82%
Derby County
0-121.42%
0-27.29%
1-23.47%
0-31.65%
1-30.79%
2-30.19%
0-40.28%
1-40.13%
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