QPR at Derby County

Updated

Queens Park Rangers

26.4%26.2%47.3%
QPR WinDrawDerby County Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.47

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Queens Park Rangers
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Hull City+165
L 0-2 at Blackburn+260
T 1-1 vs Millwall+135
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+215
W 2-1 at Luton Town+280
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sunderland+425
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+175
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+430
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR+202+202+190---+202-
Derby County+141+141+135---+141-
Draw+240+240+230---+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR------
Derby County------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On QPR ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+103o2¼-118---o2¼-118-
Underu2½-118u2½-121u2¼-102---u2½-121-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.23%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 413.33%
Exactly 62.77%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.56%
Exactly 321.36%
Exactly 56.66%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 035.80%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.89%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 023.00%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.47%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.10%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 062.15%
Exactly 129.56%
Exactly 27.03%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 050.64%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.72%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 2+ goals9.69%
Wins by 3+ goals2.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals23.42%
Wins by 3+ goals9.12%
Wins by 4+ goals2.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 1 goal16.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals14.30%
Wins by 3 goals6.27%
Wins by 4 goals2.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.77%8.23%
1.571.20%28.80%
2.545.54%54.46%
3.524.17%75.83%
4.510.84%89.16%
5.54.18%95.82%
6.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Queens Park Rangers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.20%35.80%
1.527.42%72.58%
2.58.54%91.46%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.00%23.00%
1.543.20%56.80%
2.518.36%81.64%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.53%31.47%
1.532.14%67.86%
2.511.11%88.89%
3.53.01%96.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

QPR
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.23%
12.10%
8.89%
4.36%
1.60%
0.47%
1
8.46%
12.43%
9.13%
4.47%
1.64%
0.48%
2
4.34%
6.38%
4.69%
2.30%
0.84%
0.25%
3
1.49%
2.19%
1.61%
0.79%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.38%
0.56%
0.41%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Queens Park Rangers
1-08.46%
2-04.34%
2-16.38%
3-01.49%
3-12.19%
3-21.61%
4-00.38%
4-10.56%
4-20.41%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.23%
1-112.43%
2-24.69%
3-30.79%
Derby County
0-112.10%
0-28.89%
1-29.13%
0-34.36%
1-34.47%
2-32.30%
0-41.60%
1-41.64%
2-40.84%
3-40.29%
0-50.47%
1-50.48%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

QPR
Derby County
Score01234
0
31.47%
21.42%
7.29%
1.65%
0.28%
1
14.97%
10.18%
3.47%
0.79%
0.13%
2
3.56%
2.42%
0.82%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.56%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Queens Park Rangers
1-014.97%
2-03.56%
2-12.42%
3-00.56%
3-10.38%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.47%
1-110.18%
2-20.82%
Derby County
0-121.42%
0-27.29%
1-23.47%
0-31.65%
1-30.79%
2-30.19%
0-40.28%
1-40.13%