Hull City at Derby County

Updated

Hull City

22.2%25.1%52.7%
Hull City WinDrawDerby County Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Hull City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Burnley+175
L 1-0 vs Sunderland+185
L 0-4 at Norwich City+255
W 3-1 at Queens Park Rangers+165
W 1-4 vs Cardiff City-120
Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 at Oxford United+170
T 1-1 at Millwall+295
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
L 0-2 at Sunderland+425
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+180+223+215+197+219+197+223+221.7
Derby County+145+126+125+121+120+121+126+139.4
Draw+220+247+225+240+241+240+247+268.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+185---+175+215+215+221.7
Derby County+140---+120+125+125+139.4
Draw+255---+225+245+245+268.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hull City ML moved from +205 to +195
Derby County ML moved from +126 to +119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hull City ML moved from +225 to +215
Derby County ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-117o2½-120o2½-116o2½-112o2½-116o2½-112o2½-105
Underu2½+102u2½+100u2½+100u2½-104u2½-108u2½-104u2½+100u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.94%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 413.63%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.11%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.91%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Hull City
Exactly 039.11%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 020.29%
Exactly 132.37%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 313.72%
Exactly 45.47%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.94%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hull City
Exactly 064.75%
Exactly 128.14%
Exactly 26.12%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 047.79%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 213.03%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hull City
Wins by 2+ goals7.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals27.87%
Wins by 3+ goals11.70%
Wins by 4+ goals4.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Hull City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hull City
Wins by 1 goal14.61%
Wins by 2 goals5.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals16.17%
Wins by 3 goals7.70%
Wins by 4 goals2.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.06%7.94%
1.571.95%28.05%
2.546.48%53.52%
3.524.96%75.04%
4.511.34%88.66%
5.54.43%95.57%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Hull City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.89%39.11%
1.524.18%75.82%
2.56.94%93.06%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.71%20.29%
1.547.34%52.66%
2.521.53%78.47%
3.57.81%92.19%
4.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.06%30.94%
1.532.76%67.24%
2.511.47%88.53%
3.53.15%96.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hull City
Derby County
Score012345
0
7.94%
12.66%
10.09%
5.37%
2.14%
0.68%
1
7.45%
11.88%
9.48%
5.04%
2.01%
0.64%
2
3.50%
5.58%
4.45%
2.36%
0.94%
0.30%
3
1.09%
1.75%
1.39%
0.74%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.26%
0.41%
0.33%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Hull City
1-07.45%
2-03.50%
2-15.58%
3-01.09%
3-11.75%
3-21.39%
4-00.26%
4-10.41%
4-20.33%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.94%
1-111.88%
2-24.45%
3-30.74%
Derby County
0-112.66%
0-210.09%
1-29.48%
0-35.37%
1-35.04%
2-32.36%
0-42.14%
1-42.01%
2-40.94%
3-40.30%
0-50.68%
1-50.64%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Hull City
Derby County
Score01234
0
30.94%
22.85%
8.44%
2.08%
0.38%
1
13.45%
9.93%
3.67%
0.90%
0.17%
2
2.92%
2.16%
0.80%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.42%
0.31%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Hull City
1-013.45%
2-02.92%
2-12.16%
3-00.42%
3-10.31%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.94%
1-19.93%
2-20.80%
Derby County
0-122.85%
0-28.44%
1-23.67%
0-32.08%
1-30.90%
2-30.20%
0-40.38%
1-40.17%