Derby County at Burnley

Updated

Derby County

18.3%23.9%57.9%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.70
0Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 0-2 at Leeds United+785
L 2-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+165
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+170
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225
T 1-1 vs Plymouth Argyle-140
Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough+145
W 2-0 at Stoke City+130
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+120
W 1-0 at Bristol City+170
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+400+524+500+470+515+470+524+531.6
Burnley-145-150-155-170-158-170-150-131.6
Draw+260+258+255+230+250+230+258+265.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+425---+390+450+450+531.6
Burnley-140----165-135-135-131.6
Draw+260---+230+240+240+265.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +480 to +470
Burnley ML moved from -160 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +500 to +450
Burnley ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-108o2-108o2-110o2-106o2-110o2-106o2+100
Underu2¼-105u2-109u2-112u2-110u2-114u2-110u2-109u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.92%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 413.64%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.09%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 56.92%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 043.35%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.15%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 018.27%
Exactly 131.06%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 314.95%
Exactly 46.35%
Exactly 52.16%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.91%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 067.91%
Exactly 126.28%
Exactly 25.09%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 045.52%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 214.10%
Exactly 33.70%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.65%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals32.26%
Wins by 3+ goals14.34%
Wins by 4+ goals5.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.56%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal12.58%
Wins by 2 goals4.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.58%
Wins by 2 goals17.92%
Wins by 3 goals9.14%
Wins by 4 goals3.64%
Wins by 5 goals1.18%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.08%7.92%
1.571.99%28.01%
2.546.53%53.47%
3.525.01%74.99%
4.511.36%88.64%
5.54.44%95.56%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.65%43.35%
1.520.42%79.58%
2.55.27%94.73%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.73%18.27%
1.550.66%49.34%
2.524.27%75.73%
3.59.31%90.69%
4.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.09%30.91%
1.532.79%67.21%
2.511.49%88.51%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Burnley
Score012345
0
7.92%
13.46%
11.44%
6.48%
2.75%
0.94%
1
6.62%
11.25%
9.56%
5.42%
2.30%
0.78%
2
2.77%
4.70%
4.00%
2.26%
0.96%
0.33%
3
0.77%
1.31%
1.11%
0.63%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.16%
0.27%
0.23%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.62%
2-02.77%
2-14.70%
3-00.77%
3-11.31%
3-21.11%
4-00.16%
4-10.27%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.92%
1-111.25%
2-24.00%
3-30.63%
Burnley
0-113.46%
0-211.44%
1-29.56%
0-36.48%
1-35.42%
2-32.26%
0-42.75%
1-42.30%
2-40.96%
3-40.27%
0-50.94%
1-50.78%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Burnley
Score01234
0
30.91%
24.33%
9.57%
2.51%
0.49%
1
11.96%
9.42%
3.70%
0.97%
0.19%
2
2.32%
1.82%
0.72%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.30%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-011.96%
2-02.32%
2-11.82%
3-00.30%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-030.91%
1-19.42%
2-20.72%
Burnley
0-124.33%
0-29.57%
1-23.70%
0-32.51%
1-30.97%
2-30.19%
0-40.49%
1-40.19%
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