Stoke City at Luton Town

Updated

Stoke City

24.9%26.4%48.7%
Stoke City WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.46
1Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sunderland+380
L 2-0 vs Burnley+225
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+155
T 1-1 vs Millwall+165
Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+125
L 2-4 at Norwich City+260
L 0-3 at Leeds United+650
W 0-1 vs Hull City+100
L 1-5 at Middlesbrough+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+228+293+280+255+303+255+303+288.2
Luton Town+127+100-105-108-109-111+100+107.9
Draw+240+250+230+250+244+250+250+282.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+270---+240+280+280+288.2
Luton Town+100----115+105+105+107.9
Draw+260---+235+235+235+282.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +288 to +281
Luton Town ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +295 to +280
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-114o2½-110o2½-105o2½-107o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-115u2½-103u2½-110u2½-115u2½-113u2½-115u2½-103u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.86%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 412.74%
Exactly 62.49%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.47%
Exactly 321.02%
Exactly 56.17%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.20%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.69%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 023.19%
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 312.06%
Exactly 44.41%
Exactly 51.29%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.56%
Exactly 220.50%
Exactly 42.15%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.67%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.04%
Exactly 128.54%
Exactly 26.36%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 050.84%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 211.63%
Exactly 32.62%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.71%
Wins by 3+ goals2.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals24.16%
Wins by 3+ goals9.41%
Wins by 4+ goals2.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.10%
Wins by 2 goals6.40%
Wins by 3 goals1.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal24.45%
Wins by 2 goals14.75%
Wins by 3 goals6.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.14%8.86%
1.569.67%30.33%
2.543.65%56.35%
3.522.62%77.38%
4.59.89%90.11%
5.53.71%96.29%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.80%38.20%
1.525.04%74.96%
2.57.35%92.65%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.81%23.19%
1.542.91%57.09%
2.518.15%81.85%
3.56.09%93.91%
4.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.44%32.56%
1.530.91%69.09%
2.510.41%89.59%
3.52.74%97.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
8.86%
12.95%
9.46%
4.61%
1.68%
0.49%
1
8.53%
12.46%
9.10%
4.43%
1.62%
0.47%
2
4.10%
6.00%
4.38%
2.13%
0.78%
0.23%
3
1.32%
1.92%
1.41%
0.68%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.32%
0.46%
0.34%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-08.53%
2-04.10%
2-16.00%
3-01.32%
3-11.92%
3-21.41%
4-00.32%
4-10.46%
4-20.34%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.86%
1-112.46%
2-24.38%
3-30.68%
Luton Town
0-112.95%
0-29.46%
1-29.10%
0-34.61%
1-34.43%
2-32.13%
0-41.68%
1-41.62%
2-40.78%
3-40.25%
0-50.49%
1-50.47%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
32.56%
22.03%
7.45%
1.68%
0.28%
1
14.51%
9.82%
3.32%
0.75%
0.13%
2
3.23%
2.19%
0.74%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.48%
0.32%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-014.51%
2-03.23%
2-12.19%
3-00.48%
3-10.32%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.56%
1-19.82%
2-20.74%
Luton Town
0-122.03%
0-27.45%
1-23.32%
0-31.68%
1-30.75%
2-30.17%
0-40.28%
1-40.13%
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