Swansea City at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Swansea City

50.9%24.5%24.6%
Swansea City WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.65Projected Goals 1.06
2Final Score 1

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Luton Town+225
T 2-2 vs Portsmouth-125
W 2-1 at Derby County+180
L 4-3 vs Leeds United+335
L 0-1 at Burnley+295
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
L 0-4 at Bristol City+625
L 1-6 at Norwich City+550
T 2-2 vs Watford+210
T 1-1 at Derby County+375
W 0-1 vs Portsmouth+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+114-131-135-135-139-135-131-113.4
Plymouth Argyle+254+365+350+305+359+305+365+337.9
Draw+244+288+265+285+283+285+288+316.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City-110----160-140-140-113.4
Plymouth Argyle+300---+315+360+360+337.9
Draw+260---+270+300+300+316.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from -133 to -143
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +362 to +347

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from -150 to -160
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +275 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+104o2½-118o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½-123u2½+101u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½+101u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%
 
No47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.67%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 414.93%
Exactly 63.65%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.07%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.08%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 019.33%
Exactly 131.77%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 314.30%
Exactly 45.88%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 034.52%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.56%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.37%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 046.73%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 213.53%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 061.11%
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals27.07%
Wins by 3+ goals11.52%
Wins by 4+ goals4.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.16%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals9.09%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.79%
Wins by 2 goals15.55%
Wins by 3 goals7.51%
Wins by 4 goals2.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.89%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal15.39%
Wins by 2 goals6.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.33%6.67%
1.575.26%24.74%
2.550.81%49.19%
3.528.74%71.26%
4.513.81%86.19%
5.55.73%94.27%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.67%19.33%
1.548.90%51.10%
2.522.79%77.21%
3.58.49%91.51%
4.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.48%34.52%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.44%28.56%
1.535.65%64.35%
2.513.23%86.77%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
6.67%
7.10%
3.77%
1.34%
0.36%
1
10.97%
11.67%
6.20%
2.20%
0.58%
2
9.01%
9.59%
5.10%
1.81%
0.48%
3
4.94%
5.25%
2.79%
0.99%
0.26%
4
2.03%
2.16%
1.15%
0.41%
0.11%
5
0.67%
0.71%
0.38%
0.13%
0.04%
Swansea City
1-010.97%
2-09.01%
2-19.59%
3-04.94%
3-15.25%
3-22.79%
4-02.03%
4-12.16%
4-21.15%
4-30.41%
5-00.67%
5-10.71%
5-20.38%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.67%
1-111.67%
2-25.10%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Plymouth Argyle
0-17.10%
0-23.77%
1-26.20%
0-31.34%
1-32.20%
2-31.81%
0-40.36%
1-40.58%
2-40.48%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Plymouth Argyle
Score0123
0
28.56%
14.06%
3.46%
0.57%
1
21.73%
10.70%
2.63%
0.43%
2
8.27%
4.07%
1.00%
0.16%
3
2.10%
1.03%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.40%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-021.73%
2-08.27%
2-14.07%
3-02.10%
3-11.03%
3-20.25%
4-00.40%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.56%
1-110.70%
2-21.00%
Plymouth Argyle
0-114.06%
0-23.46%
1-22.63%
0-30.57%
1-30.43%
2-30.16%