Swansea City at Burnley

Updated

Swansea City

18.6%23.0%58.3%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.78
0Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Watford-115
W 2-1 at Oxford United+145
L 1-0 vs Millwall+155
T 0-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+270
L 0-1 at Blackburn+230
Burnley
Money Line
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+220
L 0-1 at Millwall+185
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-145
T 1-1 at Hull City+165
W 2-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+350+301+285+265+292+265+301+297.5
Burnley-120+100-105-101-103-101+100+116.7
Draw+230+244+230+220+236+220+244+248.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+350---+285+295+295+297.5
Burnley-115----130-105-105+116.7
Draw+240---+230+250+250+248.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 10.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +299 to +292
No Steam Moves On Burnley ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +305 to +295
No Steam Moves On Burnley ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-144o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼-101o2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+109
Underu2+105u2+123u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-119u2¼-120u2¼-119u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-144 to o2½+117
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.85%
Exactly 224.62%
Exactly 414.74%
Exactly 63.53%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.37%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 57.90%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 040.82%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.38%
Exactly 34.89%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 016.78%
Exactly 129.96%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 315.90%
Exactly 47.10%
Exactly 52.53%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.90%
Exactly 222.26%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 39.21%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 066.04%
Exactly 127.40%
Exactly 25.68%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 043.77%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.94%
Exactly 34.12%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals6.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals33.32%
Wins by 3+ goals15.29%
Wins by 4+ goals5.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal12.54%
Wins by 2 goals4.54%
Wins by 3 goals1.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.99%
Wins by 2 goals18.02%
Wins by 3 goals9.54%
Wins by 4 goals3.96%
Wins by 5 goals1.34%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.15%6.85%
1.574.78%25.22%
2.550.16%49.84%
3.528.17%71.83%
4.513.42%86.58%
5.55.52%94.48%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.18%40.82%
1.522.60%77.40%
2.56.22%93.78%
3.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.22%16.78%
1.553.26%46.74%
2.526.53%73.47%
3.510.63%89.37%
4.53.53%96.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.10%28.90%
1.535.22%64.78%
2.512.96%87.04%
3.53.75%96.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Burnley
Score012345
0
6.85%
12.23%
10.91%
6.49%
2.90%
1.03%
1
6.14%
10.96%
9.78%
5.82%
2.60%
0.93%
2
2.75%
4.91%
4.38%
2.61%
1.16%
0.41%
3
0.82%
1.47%
1.31%
0.78%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.18%
0.33%
0.29%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Swansea City
1-06.14%
2-02.75%
2-14.91%
3-00.82%
3-11.47%
3-21.31%
4-00.18%
4-10.33%
4-20.29%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.85%
1-110.96%
2-24.38%
3-30.78%
Burnley
0-112.23%
0-210.91%
1-29.78%
0-36.49%
1-35.82%
2-32.61%
0-42.90%
1-42.60%
2-41.16%
3-40.35%
0-51.03%
1-50.93%
2-50.41%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Burnley
Score01234
0
28.90%
23.88%
9.87%
2.72%
0.56%
1
11.99%
9.91%
4.09%
1.13%
0.23%
2
2.49%
2.06%
0.85%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.34%
0.28%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-011.99%
2-02.49%
2-12.06%
3-00.34%
3-10.28%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-028.90%
1-19.91%
2-20.85%
Burnley
0-123.88%
0-29.87%
1-24.09%
0-32.72%
1-31.13%
2-30.23%
0-40.56%
1-40.23%
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