Watford at Swansea City

Updated

Watford

26.9%26.6%46.5%
Watford WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.43
0Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 6-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+285
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+140
L 1-2 at Leeds United+825
L 0-3 at Luton Town+260
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+250
Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Oxford United+145
L 1-0 vs Millwall+155
T 0-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+270
L 0-1 at Blackburn+230
T 0-0 vs Stoke City+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+220+292+275+235+279+235+292+265.7
Swansea City+120-106-105-108-111-108-105+110.3
Draw+225+270+245+265+264+265+270+298.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+240---+250+300+300+265.7
Swansea City+115----125-115-115+110.3
Draw+245---+250+275+275+298.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 40.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +285 to +279
Swansea City ML moved from -103 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 40.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Swansea City ML moved from +100 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-138o2¾-102o2¾+101o2¾-106o2¾+101o2¾+101o2¾+110
Underu2½-120u2½+117u2¾-118u2¾-121u2¾-116u2¾-121u2¾-116u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+110
Under-----u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.58%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 413.00%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.07%
Exactly 321.18%
Exactly 56.38%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 035.99%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.80%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 023.85%
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 311.71%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 51.20%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.08%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 062.30%
Exactly 129.48%
Exactly 26.98%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 051.49%
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 211.34%
Exactly 32.51%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals9.86%
Wins by 3+ goals2.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals22.64%
Wins by 3+ goals8.65%
Wins by 4+ goals2.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal16.97%
Wins by 2 goals7.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.80%
Wins by 2 goals13.99%
Wins by 3 goals6.00%
Wins by 4 goals2.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.42%8.58%
1.570.35%29.65%
2.544.47%55.53%
3.523.30%76.70%
4.510.30%89.70%
5.53.91%96.09%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.01%35.99%
1.527.24%72.76%
2.58.44%91.56%
3.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.15%23.85%
1.541.97%58.03%
2.517.47%82.53%
3.55.76%94.24%
4.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.92%32.08%
1.531.45%68.55%
2.510.71%89.29%
3.52.86%97.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Swansea City
Score012345
0
8.58%
12.30%
8.82%
4.21%
1.51%
0.43%
1
8.77%
12.57%
9.01%
4.31%
1.54%
0.44%
2
4.48%
6.43%
4.61%
2.20%
0.79%
0.23%
3
1.53%
2.19%
1.57%
0.75%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.39%
0.56%
0.40%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Watford
1-08.77%
2-04.48%
2-16.43%
3-01.53%
3-12.19%
3-21.57%
4-00.39%
4-10.56%
4-20.40%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.58%
1-112.57%
2-24.61%
3-30.75%
Swansea City
0-112.30%
0-28.82%
1-29.01%
0-34.21%
1-34.31%
2-32.20%
0-41.51%
1-41.54%
2-40.79%
3-40.27%
0-50.43%
1-50.44%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Swansea City
Score01234
0
32.08%
21.29%
7.07%
1.56%
0.26%
1
15.18%
10.08%
3.34%
0.74%
0.12%
2
3.59%
2.38%
0.79%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.57%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Watford
1-015.18%
2-03.59%
2-12.38%
3-00.57%
3-10.38%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.08%
1-110.08%
2-20.79%
Swansea City
0-121.29%
0-27.07%
1-23.34%
0-31.56%
1-30.74%
2-30.18%
0-40.26%
1-40.12%
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