Burnley at Bristol City

Updated

Burnley

34.1%28.6%37.4%
Burnley WinDrawBristol City Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.17
1Final Score 0

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-105
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+220
L 0-1 at Millwall+185
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-145
T 1-1 at Hull City+165
Bristol City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Norwich City+230
L 2-1 vs Sheffield United+250
W 3-1 at Preston North End+200
T 0-0 vs Leeds United+300
T 2-2 at Stoke City+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+155+171+160+156+163+156+171+176.0
Bristol City+196+185+180+178+183+178+185+199.7
Draw+222+213+195+205+207+205+213+228.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+150---+145+170+170+176.0
Bristol City+195---+165+180+180+199.7
Draw+220---+195+210+210+228.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +176 to +169
Bristol City ML moved from +173 to +166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
Bristol City ML moved from +195 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-142o2-132o2-128o2¼+102o2¼+106o2¼+102o2-128o2¼+111
Underu2+121u2+112u2+108u2¼-122u2¼-128u2¼-122u2¼-122u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+111
Under-----u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.30%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 411.45%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.42%
Exactly 320.16%
Exactly 55.21%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 033.20%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 031.04%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.24%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.92%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 41.78%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 060.02%
Exactly 130.64%
Exactly 27.82%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 058.18%
Exactly 131.51%
Exactly 28.53%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals13.51%
Wins by 3+ goals4.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals15.68%
Wins by 3+ goals5.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal20.45%
Wins by 2 goals9.43%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal21.69%
Wins by 2 goals10.62%
Wins by 3 goals3.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.70%10.30%
1.566.28%33.72%
2.539.67%60.33%
3.519.51%80.49%
4.58.06%91.94%
5.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.80%33.20%
1.530.20%69.80%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.96%31.04%
1.532.65%67.35%
2.511.40%88.60%
3.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.08%34.92%
1.528.34%71.66%
2.59.02%90.98%
3.52.24%97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Bristol City
Score012345
0
10.30%
12.05%
7.05%
2.75%
0.80%
0.19%
1
11.36%
13.29%
7.78%
3.03%
0.89%
0.21%
2
6.27%
7.33%
4.29%
1.67%
0.49%
0.11%
3
2.30%
2.69%
1.58%
0.61%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.63%
0.74%
0.43%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-011.36%
2-06.27%
2-17.33%
3-02.30%
3-12.69%
3-21.58%
4-00.63%
4-10.74%
4-20.43%
4-30.17%
5-00.14%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-010.30%
1-113.29%
2-24.29%
3-30.61%
Bristol City
0-112.05%
0-27.05%
1-27.78%
0-32.75%
1-33.03%
2-31.67%
0-40.80%
1-40.89%
2-40.49%
3-40.18%
0-50.19%
1-50.21%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Bristol City
Score01234
0
34.92%
18.91%
5.12%
0.92%
0.13%
1
17.83%
9.66%
2.62%
0.47%
0.06%
2
4.55%
2.47%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.77%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-017.83%
2-04.55%
2-12.47%
3-00.77%
3-10.42%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.92%
1-19.66%
2-20.67%
Bristol City
0-118.91%
0-25.12%
1-22.62%
0-30.92%
1-30.47%
2-30.12%
0-40.13%
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