Middlesbrough at Birmingham City

Updated

Middlesbrough

45.0%26.9%28.0%
Middlesbrough WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.39Projected Goals 1.04
1Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 2-0 at Queens Park Rangers+210
W 1-3 vs Norwich City+150
L 0-2 at Stoke City+185
L 2-0 vs Plymouth Argyle-215
W 2-1 at Leicester City+460
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Millwall+240
T 1-1 at Hull City+400
L 4-3 vs Southampton+305
L 1-3 at Ipswich Town+500
W 1-2 vs Sunderland+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+144+137+140+138+136+138+140+157.5
Birmingham City+182+199+185+172+194+172+199+194.3
Draw+263+253+235+240+260+240+260+267.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+145---+125+140+140+157.5
Birmingham City+170---+155+190+190+194.3
Draw+270---+245+245+245+267.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +145 to +136
Birmingham City ML moved from +188 to +182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-137o2½-126o2½-122o2¾+108o2½-118o2¾+108o2½-118o2¾+117
Underu2½+117u2½+108u2½+102u2¾-128u2½+100u2¾-128u2½+108u2¾-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+117
Under-----u2¾-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.80%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 412.79%
Exactly 62.52%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.39%
Exactly 321.06%
Exactly 56.22%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 024.85%
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 311.18%
Exactly 43.89%
Exactly 51.08%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 035.42%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.08%
Exactly 36.60%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.46%
Exactly 220.55%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.71%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 052.48%
Exactly 133.84%
Exactly 210.91%
Exactly 32.34%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 061.84%
Exactly 129.72%
Exactly 27.14%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals21.46%
Wins by 3+ goals8.00%
Wins by 4+ goals2.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals10.43%
Wins by 3+ goals2.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal23.52%
Wins by 2 goals13.46%
Wins by 3 goals5.61%
Wins by 4 goals1.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal17.53%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.20%8.80%
1.569.81%30.19%
2.543.82%56.18%
3.522.77%77.23%
4.59.97%90.03%
5.53.75%96.25%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.15%24.85%
1.540.56%59.44%
2.516.47%83.53%
3.55.29%94.71%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.58%35.42%
1.527.82%72.18%
2.58.74%91.26%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.54%32.46%
1.531.02%68.98%
2.510.47%89.53%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
8.80%
9.13%
4.74%
1.64%
0.43%
1
12.25%
12.72%
6.60%
2.28%
0.59%
2
8.53%
8.86%
4.60%
1.59%
0.41%
3
3.96%
4.11%
2.13%
0.74%
0.19%
4
1.38%
1.43%
0.74%
0.26%
0.07%
5
0.38%
0.40%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Middlesbrough
1-012.25%
2-08.53%
2-18.86%
3-03.96%
3-14.11%
3-22.13%
4-01.38%
4-11.43%
4-20.74%
4-30.26%
5-00.38%
5-10.40%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.80%
1-112.72%
2-24.60%
3-30.74%
Birmingham City
0-19.13%
0-24.74%
1-26.60%
0-31.64%
1-32.28%
2-31.59%
0-40.43%
1-40.59%
2-40.41%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
32.46%
15.60%
3.75%
0.60%
1
20.92%
10.06%
2.42%
0.39%
2
6.75%
3.24%
0.78%
0.12%
3
1.45%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.23%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-020.92%
2-06.75%
2-13.24%
3-01.45%
3-10.70%
3-20.17%
4-00.23%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-032.46%
1-110.06%
2-20.78%
Birmingham City
0-115.60%
0-23.75%
1-22.42%
0-30.60%
1-30.39%
2-30.12%
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