Middlesbrough at Stoke City

Updated

Middlesbrough

33.6%28.5%37.9%
Middlesbrough WinDrawStoke City Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.18
0Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Plymouth Argyle-215
W 2-1 at Leicester City+460
L 1-2 at Preston North End+125
L 2-1 vs Bristol City-130
T 1-1 vs Sunderland+110
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+170
L 1-0 vs Coventry City+195
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+120
L 1-3 at Blackburn+195
L 5-0 vs Leicester City+305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+160+193+190+164+191+164+193+185.4
Stoke City+175+141+145+140+142+140+145+159.5
Draw+242+252+230+250+251+250+252+278.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+155---+160+185+185+185.4
Stoke City+175---+140+140+140+159.5
Draw+240---+210+250+250+278.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +179 to +165
Stoke City ML moved from +153 to +141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Stoke City ML moved from +150 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-134o2½-122o2¾-109o2¾-105o2¾-109o2½-122o2¾+101
Underu2½-104u2½+114u2½+102u2¾-111u2¾-113u2¾-111u2¾-111u2¾-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+101
Under-----u2¾-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.29%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 411.46%
Exactly 61.98%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.40%
Exactly 320.17%
Exactly 55.21%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 033.52%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.02%
Exactly 37.29%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 030.70%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.90%
Exactly 219.34%
Exactly 41.79%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.29%
Exactly 130.51%
Exactly 27.72%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 057.89%
Exactly 131.65%
Exactly 28.65%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals13.22%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals16.02%
Wins by 3+ goals5.21%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal20.25%
Wins by 2 goals9.26%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.88%
Wins by 2 goals10.80%
Wins by 3 goals3.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.71%10.29%
1.566.30%33.70%
2.539.70%60.30%
3.519.53%80.47%
4.58.07%91.93%
5.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.48%33.52%
1.529.84%70.16%
2.59.82%90.18%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.30%30.70%
1.533.04%66.96%
2.511.64%88.36%
3.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.10%34.90%
1.528.36%71.64%
2.59.03%90.97%
3.52.24%97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Score012345
0
10.29%
12.15%
7.18%
2.82%
0.83%
0.20%
1
11.25%
13.28%
7.84%
3.09%
0.91%
0.22%
2
6.15%
7.26%
4.29%
1.69%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.24%
2.64%
1.56%
0.61%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.61%
0.72%
0.43%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-011.25%
2-06.15%
2-17.26%
3-02.24%
3-12.64%
3-21.56%
4-00.61%
4-10.72%
4-20.43%
4-30.17%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-010.29%
1-113.28%
2-24.29%
3-30.61%
Stoke City
0-112.15%
0-27.18%
1-27.84%
0-32.82%
1-33.09%
2-31.69%
0-40.83%
1-40.91%
2-40.50%
3-40.18%
0-50.20%
1-50.22%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Score01234
0
34.90%
19.08%
5.22%
0.95%
0.13%
1
17.66%
9.65%
2.64%
0.48%
0.07%
2
4.47%
2.44%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.75%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.66%
2-04.47%
2-12.44%
3-00.75%
3-10.41%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.90%
1-19.65%
2-20.67%
Stoke City
0-119.08%
0-25.22%
1-22.64%
0-30.95%
1-30.48%
2-30.12%
0-40.13%
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