Stoke City at Cardiff City

Updated

Stoke City

35.0%28.7%36.4%
Stoke City WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 2

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Coventry City+195
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+120
L 1-3 at Blackburn+195
L 5-0 vs Leicester City+305
L 1-3 at Sunderland+290
Cardiff City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Blackburn+205
L 1-4 at Norwich City+375
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+465
L 2-0 vs Preston North End+140
W 1-0 at Watford+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+174+179+175+166+181+166+181+187.2
Cardiff City+171+174+170+166+170+166+174+187.2
Draw+227+216+200+205+217+205+217+229.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+155---+150+170+170+187.2
Cardiff City+180---+160+180+180+187.2
Draw+230---+190+210+210+229.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +169 to +161
Cardiff City ML moved from +168 to +162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Cardiff City ML moved from +190 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2-137o2-128o2¼+104o2¼+105o2¼+104o2-128o2¼+113
Underu2½-135u2+115u2+108u2¼-124u2¼-125u2¼-124u2¼-124u2¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+113
Under-----u2¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.42%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.35%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.57%
Exactly 320.08%
Exactly 55.13%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 032.74%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.41%
Exactly 37.60%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 031.84%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.10%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 41.76%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.71%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 059.63%
Exactly 130.83%
Exactly 27.97%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 058.87%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 28.26%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals14.04%
Wins by 3+ goals4.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals14.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal20.84%
Wins by 2 goals9.75%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal21.36%
Wins by 2 goals10.24%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.58%10.42%
1.566.01%33.99%
2.539.36%60.64%
3.519.28%80.72%
4.57.93%92.07%
5.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.26%32.74%
1.530.70%69.30%
2.510.30%89.70%
3.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.16%31.84%
1.531.72%68.28%
2.510.87%89.13%
3.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.90%35.10%
1.528.15%71.85%
2.58.91%91.09%
3.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
10.42%
11.93%
6.83%
2.60%
0.74%
0.17%
1
11.64%
13.32%
7.62%
2.91%
0.83%
0.19%
2
6.50%
7.44%
4.26%
1.62%
0.46%
0.11%
3
2.42%
2.77%
1.58%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.68%
0.77%
0.44%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.64%
2-06.50%
2-17.44%
3-02.42%
3-12.77%
3-21.58%
4-00.68%
4-10.77%
4-20.44%
4-30.17%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-010.42%
1-113.32%
2-24.26%
3-30.60%
Cardiff City
0-111.93%
0-26.83%
1-27.62%
0-32.60%
1-32.91%
2-31.62%
0-40.74%
1-40.83%
2-40.46%
3-40.17%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
35.10%
18.60%
4.93%
0.87%
0.12%
1
18.15%
9.62%
2.55%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.69%
2.49%
0.66%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.81%
0.43%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-018.15%
2-04.69%
2-12.49%
3-00.81%
3-10.43%
3-20.11%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-035.10%
1-19.62%
2-20.66%
Cardiff City
0-118.60%
0-24.93%
1-22.55%
0-30.87%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%
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