Southampton at Birmingham City

Updated

Southampton

52.6%24.4%23.1%
Southampton WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.66Projected Goals 1.02
4Final Score 3

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Millwall-240
L 2-1 vs Hull City-200
W 2-0 at West Bromwich Albion+140
L 1-3 at Bristol City-125
W 3-5 vs Huddersfield-400
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 1-3 at Ipswich Town+500
W 1-2 vs Sunderland+165
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+130
L 0-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+210
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+405

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-116-135-135-135-133-135-133-113.4
Birmingham City+312+338+320+290+326+290+338+321.5
Draw+283+321+310+300+322+300+322+332.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-125----160-135-135-113.4
Birmingham City+310---+300+305+305+321.5
Draw+300---+280+330+330+332.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from -125 to -135
Birmingham City ML moved from +313 to +304

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from -125 to -135
Birmingham City ML moved from +305 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3-130o3¼-102o3-128o3-125o3-128o3-125o3-117
Underu3-130u3+110u3¼-118u3+108u3+105u3+108u3¼-118u3+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-117
Under-----u3+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-120 to u3-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.84%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 414.75%
Exactly 63.54%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.35%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 57.91%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 018.91%
Exactly 131.50%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 314.56%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 036.19%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.89%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 046.25%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 213.75%
Exactly 33.53%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 062.46%
Exactly 129.40%
Exactly 26.92%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals28.34%
Wins by 3+ goals12.22%
Wins by 4+ goals4.31%
Wins by 5+ goals1.26%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals8.26%
Wins by 3+ goals2.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals16.12%
Wins by 3 goals7.91%
Wins by 4 goals3.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal14.76%
Wins by 2 goals6.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.16%6.84%
1.574.80%25.20%
2.550.19%49.81%
3.528.19%71.81%
4.513.44%86.56%
5.55.53%94.47%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.09%18.91%
1.549.59%50.41%
2.523.37%76.63%
3.58.81%91.19%
4.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.81%36.19%
1.527.03%72.97%
2.58.34%91.66%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.11%28.89%
1.535.24%64.76%
2.512.97%87.03%
3.53.75%96.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
6.84%
6.96%
3.54%
1.20%
0.30%
1
11.40%
11.58%
5.89%
1.99%
0.51%
2
9.49%
9.65%
4.90%
1.66%
0.42%
3
5.27%
5.36%
2.72%
0.92%
0.23%
4
2.19%
2.23%
1.13%
0.38%
0.10%
5
0.73%
0.74%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
Southampton
1-011.40%
2-09.49%
2-19.65%
3-05.27%
3-15.36%
3-22.72%
4-02.19%
4-12.23%
4-21.13%
4-30.38%
5-00.73%
5-10.74%
5-20.38%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.84%
1-111.58%
2-24.90%
3-30.92%
Birmingham City
0-16.96%
0-23.54%
1-25.89%
0-31.20%
1-31.99%
2-31.66%
0-40.30%
1-40.51%
2-40.42%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
28.89%
13.60%
3.20%
0.50%
1
22.28%
10.48%
2.47%
0.39%
2
8.59%
4.04%
0.95%
0.15%
3
2.21%
1.04%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.43%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-022.28%
2-08.59%
2-14.04%
3-02.21%
3-11.04%
3-20.24%
4-00.43%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.89%
1-110.48%
2-20.95%
Birmingham City
0-113.60%
0-23.20%
1-22.47%
0-30.50%
1-30.39%
2-30.15%
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