Watford at Middlesbrough

Updated

Watford

44.3%27.3%28.4%
Watford WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.40Projected Goals 0.89
1Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday-190
W 0-3 vs Birmingham City-145
W 4-1 at Rotherham United-155
W 2-1 at Cardiff City+150
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest-110
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 1-3 at Bournemouth+300
L 0-1 at Millwall+145
W 0-2 vs Preston North End-120
W 0-3 vs Stoke City+130
L 1-2 at Swansea City+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+135+113+110+114+109+114+114-
Middlesbrough+220+263+280+260+282+260+282-
Draw+210+226+215+225+214+225+226-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+130---+110+120+120-
Middlesbrough+240---+220+255+255-
Draw+210---+190+215+215-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +115 to +109
Middlesbrough ML moved from +262 to +256

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +130 to +120
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2¼-101o2-140o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2-125-
Underu2+110u2¼-122u2+115u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.59%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.22%
Exactly 320.26%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 024.80%
Exactly 134.58%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 311.20%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 040.92%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.34%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 052.44%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 210.93%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 066.12%
Exactly 127.35%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals23.54%
Wins by 3+ goals8.88%
Wins by 4+ goals2.68%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals8.03%
Wins by 3+ goals2.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Middlesbrough
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.00%
Wins by 2 goals14.66%
Wins by 3 goals6.20%
Wins by 4 goals2.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal16.02%
Wins by 2 goals6.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.63%33.37%
2.540.07%59.93%
3.519.82%80.18%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.20%24.80%
1.540.62%59.38%
2.516.51%83.49%
3.55.31%94.69%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.08%40.92%
1.522.52%77.48%
2.56.18%93.82%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
10.15%
9.07%
4.05%
1.21%
0.27%
1
14.15%
12.64%
5.65%
1.68%
0.38%
2
9.87%
8.81%
3.94%
1.17%
0.26%
3
4.59%
4.10%
1.83%
0.55%
0.12%
4
1.60%
1.43%
0.64%
0.19%
0.04%
5
0.45%
0.40%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Watford
1-014.15%
2-09.87%
2-18.81%
3-04.59%
3-14.10%
3-21.83%
4-01.60%
4-11.43%
4-20.64%
4-30.19%
5-00.45%
5-10.40%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-010.15%
1-112.64%
2-23.94%
3-30.55%
Middlesbrough
0-19.07%
0-24.05%
1-25.65%
0-31.21%
1-31.68%
2-31.17%
0-40.27%
1-40.38%
2-40.26%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Middlesbrough
Score0123
0
34.67%
14.34%
2.97%
0.41%
1
22.38%
9.26%
1.92%
0.26%
2
7.22%
2.99%
0.62%
0.09%
3
1.55%
0.64%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.25%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-022.38%
2-07.22%
2-12.99%
3-01.55%
3-10.64%
3-20.13%
4-00.25%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-034.67%
1-19.26%
2-20.62%
Middlesbrough
0-114.34%
0-22.97%
1-21.92%
0-30.41%
1-30.26%
Brentford at Huddersfield
Millwall at Stoke City