Millwall at Cardiff City

Updated

Millwall

35.1%29.2%35.7%
Millwall WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 0

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough+285
W 0-3 vs Rotherham United-200
T 0-0 vs Bristol City-135
W 2-0 at Watford+285
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic-105
Cardiff City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic+100
L 0-1 at Blackburn+235
T 0-0 at Coventry City+305
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+135
T 1-1 vs Blackpool-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+165+166+145+158+170+158+170+177.4
Cardiff City+185+197+210+178+197+178+210+205.2
Draw+195+206+205+200+212+200+212+220.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+150---+125+145+145+177.4
Cardiff City+200---+190+205+205+205.2
Draw+215---+195+215+215+220.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +155 to +140
Cardiff City ML moved from +203 to +197

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
Cardiff City ML moved from +215 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-118o2-117o2-112o2-111o2-111o2-111o2-111o2-103
Underu2-102u2-101u2-108u2-109u2-104u2-109u2-101u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-103
Under-----u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.20%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 410.72%
Exactly 61.71%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.52%
Exactly 319.59%
Exactly 54.69%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 033.67%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 033.27%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.29%
Exactly 218.64%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.30%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 060.41%
Exactly 130.45%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 060.08%
Exactly 130.61%
Exactly 27.80%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals13.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals14.25%
Wins by 3+ goals4.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal21.11%
Wins by 2 goals9.72%
Wins by 3 goals3.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal21.34%
Wins by 2 goals9.93%
Wins by 3 goals3.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.80%11.20%
1.564.28%35.72%
2.537.44%62.56%
3.517.85%82.15%
4.57.13%92.87%
5.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.33%33.67%
1.529.68%70.32%
2.59.73%90.27%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.73%33.27%
1.530.12%69.88%
2.59.97%90.03%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.71%36.29%
1.526.92%73.08%
2.58.28%91.72%
3.51.98%98.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
11.20%
12.33%
6.78%
2.49%
0.68%
0.15%
1
12.19%
13.42%
7.38%
2.71%
0.75%
0.16%
2
6.64%
7.30%
4.02%
1.47%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.41%
2.65%
1.46%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.66%
0.72%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-012.19%
2-06.64%
2-17.30%
3-02.41%
3-12.65%
3-21.46%
4-00.66%
4-10.72%
4-20.40%
4-30.15%
5-00.14%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.20%
1-113.42%
2-24.02%
3-30.54%
Cardiff City
0-112.33%
0-26.78%
1-27.38%
0-32.49%
1-32.71%
2-31.47%
0-40.68%
1-40.75%
2-40.41%
3-40.15%
0-50.15%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
36.29%
18.49%
4.71%
0.80%
0.10%
1
18.29%
9.32%
2.37%
0.40%
0.05%
2
4.61%
2.35%
0.60%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.77%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-018.29%
2-04.61%
2-12.35%
3-00.77%
3-10.39%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-036.29%
1-19.32%
2-20.60%
Cardiff City
0-118.49%
0-24.71%
1-22.37%
0-30.80%
1-30.40%
2-30.10%
0-40.10%
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