Cardiff City at Luton Town

Updated

Cardiff City

33.1%27.4%39.4%
Cardiff City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.31
2Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Hull City+100
W 2-1 at Preston North End+280
W 1-2 vs Huddersfield+130
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+155
T 3-3 at Stoke City+360
Luton Town
Money Line
T 0-0 at Nottingham Forest+195
L 0-2 at Queens Park Rangers+210
L 1-0 vs Stoke City+145
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+130
L 0-2 at Preston North End+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+255+270+280-+275+275+275+300.8
Luton Town+110+105+103--102+102+105+112.7
Draw+235+235+225-+247+225+247+256.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+310---+265+280+280+300.8
Luton Town-115----120+105+105+112.7
Draw+265---+220+230+230+256.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +266 to +255
Luton Town ML moved from +106 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +310 to +280
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2-162o2¼-118o2½+114-o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-108
Underu2½-128u2+134u2¼-102u2½-129-u2¼-102u2½-129u2¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-108
Under-----u2¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-125 to u2¼-107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.98%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 412.63%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 320.96%
Exactly 56.09%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 033.27%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 026.99%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 310.11%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.76%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 42.12%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 060.07%
Exactly 130.61%
Exactly 27.80%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 054.53%
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 210.03%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals12.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals18.78%
Wins by 3+ goals6.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal18.93%
Wins by 2 goals8.57%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal22.53%
Wins by 2 goals12.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.02%8.98%
1.569.38%30.62%
2.543.30%56.70%
3.522.35%77.65%
4.59.72%90.28%
5.53.63%96.37%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.73%33.27%
1.530.12%69.88%
2.59.97%90.03%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.01%26.99%
1.537.67%62.33%
2.514.52%85.48%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.24%32.76%
1.530.68%69.32%
2.510.28%89.72%
3.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
8.98%
11.76%
7.70%
3.36%
1.10%
0.29%
1
9.88%
12.94%
8.48%
3.70%
1.21%
0.32%
2
5.44%
7.12%
4.66%
2.04%
0.67%
0.17%
3
1.99%
2.61%
1.71%
0.75%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.55%
0.72%
0.47%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-09.88%
2-05.44%
2-17.12%
3-01.99%
3-12.61%
3-21.71%
4-00.55%
4-10.72%
4-20.47%
4-30.21%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-08.98%
1-112.94%
2-24.66%
3-30.75%
Luton Town
0-111.76%
0-27.70%
1-28.48%
0-33.36%
1-33.70%
2-32.04%
0-41.10%
1-41.21%
2-40.67%
3-40.24%
0-50.29%
1-50.32%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
32.76%
19.87%
6.02%
1.22%
0.18%
1
16.69%
10.12%
3.07%
0.62%
0.09%
2
4.25%
2.58%
0.78%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.72%
0.44%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-016.69%
2-04.25%
2-12.58%
3-00.72%
3-10.44%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.76%
1-110.12%
2-20.78%
Luton Town
0-119.87%
0-26.02%
1-23.07%
0-31.22%
1-30.62%
2-30.16%
0-40.18%