Cardiff City at Luton Town

Updated

Cardiff City

33.1%27.4%39.4%
Cardiff City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.31
2Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Hull City+100
W 2-1 at Preston North End+280
W 1-2 vs Huddersfield+130
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+155
T 3-3 at Stoke City+360
Luton Town
Money Line
T 0-0 at Nottingham Forest+195
L 0-2 at Queens Park Rangers+210
L 1-0 vs Stoke City+145
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+130
L 0-2 at Preston North End+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+255+270+280-+275+275+275+300.8
Luton Town+110+105+103--102+102+105+112.7
Draw+235+235+225-+247+225+247+256.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+310---+265+280+280+300.8
Luton Town-115----120+105+105+112.7
Draw+265---+220+230+230+256.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +266 to +255
Luton Town ML moved from +106 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +310 to +280
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2-162o2¼-118o2½+114-o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-108
Underu2½-128u2+134u2¼-102u2½-129-u2¼-102u2½-129u2¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-108
Under-----u2¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-125 to u2¼-107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.98%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 412.63%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 320.96%
Exactly 56.09%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 033.27%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 026.99%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 310.11%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.76%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 42.12%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 060.07%
Exactly 130.61%
Exactly 27.80%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 054.53%
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 210.03%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals12.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals18.78%
Wins by 3+ goals6.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal18.93%
Wins by 2 goals8.57%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal22.53%
Wins by 2 goals12.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.02%8.98%
1.569.38%30.62%
2.543.30%56.70%
3.522.35%77.65%
4.59.72%90.28%
5.53.63%96.37%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.73%33.27%
1.530.12%69.88%
2.59.97%90.03%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.01%26.99%
1.537.67%62.33%
2.514.52%85.48%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.24%32.76%
1.530.68%69.32%
2.510.28%89.72%
3.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
8.98%
11.76%
7.70%
3.36%
1.10%
0.29%
1
9.88%
12.94%
8.48%
3.70%
1.21%
0.32%
2
5.44%
7.12%
4.66%
2.04%
0.67%
0.17%
3
1.99%
2.61%
1.71%
0.75%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.55%
0.72%
0.47%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-09.88%
2-05.44%
2-17.12%
3-01.99%
3-12.61%
3-21.71%
4-00.55%
4-10.72%
4-20.47%
4-30.21%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-08.98%
1-112.94%
2-24.66%
3-30.75%
Luton Town
0-111.76%
0-27.70%
1-28.48%
0-33.36%
1-33.70%
2-32.04%
0-41.10%
1-41.21%
2-40.67%
3-40.24%
0-50.29%
1-50.32%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
32.76%
19.87%
6.02%
1.22%
0.18%
1
16.69%
10.12%
3.07%
0.62%
0.09%
2
4.25%
2.58%
0.78%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.72%
0.44%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-016.69%
2-04.25%
2-12.58%
3-00.72%
3-10.44%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.76%
1-110.12%
2-20.78%
Luton Town
0-119.87%
0-26.02%
1-23.07%
0-31.22%
1-30.62%
2-30.16%
0-40.18%
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