Cardiff City at Watford

Updated

Cardiff City

18.9%23.4%57.8%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.75

Watford

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 2-3 at Oxford United+175
L 2-0 vs Sheffield United+225
T 2-2 at Stoke City+255
L 2-0 vs Preston North End+140
T 2-2 at Coventry City+355
Watford
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Portsmouth-125
L 1-2 at Burnley+400
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+165
T 1-1 at Hull City+200
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+290+275+270+250-+250+275+281.1
Watford-105+102+100-109--109+102+108.8
Draw+230+259+235+255-+255+259+286.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+250---+250+270+270+281.1
Watford-120----120+100+100+108.8
Draw+235---+235+255+255+286.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +290 to +270
Watford ML moved from -101 to -109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-119o2½-112o2½-112-o2½-112o2½-112o2½-102
Underu2½+102u2½+101u2½-108u2½-108-u2½-108u2½+101u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.09%
Exactly 224.83%
Exactly 414.49%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.77%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.67%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 041.01%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.29%
Exactly 34.84%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 017.29%
Exactly 130.35%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 315.58%
Exactly 46.83%
Exactly 52.40%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.37%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 39.00%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 066.18%
Exactly 127.32%
Exactly 25.64%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 044.38%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.65%
Exactly 33.97%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals6.10%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals32.65%
Wins by 3+ goals14.81%
Wins by 4+ goals5.49%
Wins by 5+ goals1.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal12.74%
Wins by 2 goals4.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.07%
Wins by 2 goals17.85%
Wins by 3 goals9.31%
Wins by 4 goals3.80%
Wins by 5 goals1.27%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.91%7.09%
1.574.14%25.86%
2.549.31%50.69%
3.527.41%72.59%
4.512.92%87.08%
5.55.25%94.75%
6.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.99%41.01%
1.522.44%77.56%
2.56.15%93.85%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.71%17.29%
1.552.36%47.64%
2.525.73%74.27%
3.510.16%89.84%
4.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.63%29.37%
1.534.65%65.35%
2.512.60%87.40%
3.53.60%96.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Watford
Score012345
0
7.09%
12.44%
10.92%
6.39%
2.80%
0.98%
1
6.32%
11.09%
9.73%
5.69%
2.50%
0.88%
2
2.82%
4.94%
4.34%
2.54%
1.11%
0.39%
3
0.84%
1.47%
1.29%
0.75%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.19%
0.33%
0.29%
0.17%
0.07%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-06.32%
2-02.82%
2-14.94%
3-00.84%
3-11.47%
3-21.29%
4-00.19%
4-10.33%
4-20.29%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.09%
1-111.09%
2-24.34%
3-30.75%
Watford
0-112.44%
0-210.92%
1-29.73%
0-36.39%
1-35.69%
2-32.54%
0-42.80%
1-42.50%
2-41.11%
3-40.33%
0-50.98%
1-50.88%
2-50.39%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Watford
Score01234
0
29.37%
23.86%
9.69%
2.63%
0.53%
1
12.12%
9.85%
4.00%
1.08%
0.22%
2
2.50%
2.03%
0.83%
0.22%
0.05%
3
0.34%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-012.12%
2-02.50%
2-12.03%
3-00.34%
3-10.28%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.37%
1-19.85%
2-20.83%
Watford
0-123.86%
0-29.69%
1-24.00%
0-32.63%
1-31.08%
2-30.22%
0-40.53%
1-40.22%
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