Watford at Burnley

Updated

Watford

20.3%24.9%54.8%
Watford WinDrawBurnley Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 2

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+165
T 1-1 at Hull City+200
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-125
W 0-1 vs Bristol City+125
T 2-2 at Plymouth Argyle+125
Burnley
Money Line
W 2-1 at Norwich City+165
T 0-0 vs Derby County-135
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough+145
W 2-0 at Stoke City+130
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+390+417+420+355+423+355+423+391.2
Burnley-150-134-145-137-147-137-134-115.3
Draw+275+265+245+255+264+255+265+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+415---+365+400+400+391.2
Burnley-145----165-140-140-115.3
Draw+280---+245+270+270+283.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +365 to +355
Burnley ML moved from -141 to -147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 10.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +390 to +365
Burnley ML moved from -145 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+113o2¼-110o2¼-112o2¼-111o2¼-112o2¼-110o2¼-102
Underu2¼-105u2½-132u2¼-110u2¼-108u2¼-109u2¼-108u2½-132u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-102
Under-----u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.68%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 041.73%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.94%
Exactly 34.64%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 019.92%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.95%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.61%
Exactly 220.96%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 066.72%
Exactly 127.00%
Exactly 25.46%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 047.38%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.22%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals6.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals29.41%
Wins by 3+ goals12.52%
Wins by 4+ goals4.34%
Wins by 5+ goals1.25%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal13.74%
Wins by 2 goals4.95%
Wins by 3 goals1.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.37%
Wins by 2 goals16.89%
Wins by 3 goals8.18%
Wins by 4 goals3.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.95%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.01%28.99%
2.545.30%54.70%
3.523.98%76.02%
4.510.72%89.28%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.27%41.73%
1.521.80%78.20%
2.55.86%94.14%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.08%19.92%
1.547.94%52.06%
2.522.01%77.99%
3.58.07%91.93%
4.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.39%31.61%
1.531.99%68.01%
2.511.02%88.98%
3.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Burnley
Score012345
0
8.31%
13.41%
10.82%
5.82%
2.35%
0.76%
1
7.26%
11.72%
9.46%
5.09%
2.05%
0.66%
2
3.17%
5.12%
4.13%
2.22%
0.90%
0.29%
3
0.92%
1.49%
1.20%
0.65%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.20%
0.33%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Watford
1-07.26%
2-03.17%
2-15.12%
3-00.92%
3-11.49%
3-21.20%
4-00.20%
4-10.33%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-111.72%
2-24.13%
3-30.65%
Burnley
0-113.41%
0-210.82%
1-29.46%
0-35.82%
1-35.09%
2-32.22%
0-42.35%
1-42.05%
2-40.90%
3-40.26%
0-50.76%
1-50.66%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Burnley
Score01234
0
31.61%
23.61%
8.82%
2.20%
0.41%
1
12.79%
9.56%
3.57%
0.89%
0.17%
2
2.59%
1.93%
0.72%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.35%
0.26%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-012.79%
2-02.59%
2-11.93%
3-00.35%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-031.61%
1-19.56%
2-20.72%
Burnley
0-123.61%
0-28.82%
1-23.57%
0-32.20%
1-30.89%
2-30.18%
0-40.41%
1-40.17%
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